{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JGBG552KS7",
  "slug": "2026-reno-mayoral-election-winner-20260626001418691",
  "question": "Will a new mayor be elected in Reno in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "nevada",
    "local-government",
    "mayoral-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Reno mayoral election. Polymarket structures the event as per-candidate binary contracts, each resolving YES or NO independently. The sum of all candidate probabilities should not exceed 1.0; arbitrage opportunities arise when they do. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing certified election results from Washoe County or Nevada state authorities.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SXRWVC2PH7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.89,
    "implied_probability": 0.89
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SXRWVC2PH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JGBG552KS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x94b37dd0bab40c7469b4ecbef4fac45393f83c93557e5cd4abbeaddba1569f79",
      "question": "Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kate Marshall: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "State of Nevada",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Washoe County",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "City of Reno",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JGBG552KS7",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xc23caaeda363b03a8875e58e85038ce3ac02f4ecdd6b2bcae78ad979d2d7bf6b",
      "question": "Will Kathleen Taylor win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kathleen Taylor: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JGBG552KS7",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x3831209e3231cfe80912ab67784c3b0a86b362bc9a3f7d25024a1d885b3ea938",
      "question": "Will Person A win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person A: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D7P0QSCZ85",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JGBG552KS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe4bb90cd46777bb4192e19f0815b4d99f64c58ae2d13035e3450ea16e68f341e",
      "question": "Will Person B win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person B: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "City of Reno",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0FWB2H0JW0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JGBG552KS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe25c199b715d3d91153e7fc0644bd12d67d74b927d1e6fee1d3f303372ccff1d",
      "question": "Will Person C win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person C: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "Washoe County",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0LZQXQCF04",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JGBG552KS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x55dab9f75f58f70d5d1e90faa202de9efd6326f37a14112a36ccf9b20d52f6a2",
      "question": "Will Person D win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person D: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State of Nevada",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Washoe County",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "City of Reno",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "reno mayoral election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1DQNZY39Q8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JGBG552KS7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x96d9c8379d40dc29f464c8f22484382cb22106de36d58d9cb5d69863e47f4557",
      "question": "Will Person E win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person E: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Washoe County",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
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      "question": "Will Person L win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
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      "question": "Will Person M win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.",
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