{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DT6W7DG081",
  "slug": "2026-tarrant-county-judge-election-winner-20260626003334863",
  "question": "Will Glenn Whitley win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "texas-elections",
    "tarrant-county",
    "2026",
    "judicial-elections"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Tarrant County Judge election on November 3, 2026. Polymarket lists per-candidate binary contracts, each asking whether a named individual wins the seat. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against credible reported results. Probabilities across named candidates must collectively sum to one, making cross-contract arbitrage a structural feature.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-90B1VJHVR6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.44
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DT6W7DG081",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xd6d1c21478a65c24a17a95ce3956e9e9f260df9187a0766807622893d6b21649",
      "question": "Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tim O'Hare: The named candidate becomes Tarrant County Judge following the November 3, 2026 election, confirmed by credible reporting consensus by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DT6W7DG081",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x98d0d5e39f52a717c12e6bd4f772a23f66cbd6cb347cd37758db0ad9db160262",
      "question": "Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Alisa Simmons: The named candidate becomes Tarrant County Judge following the November 3, 2026 election, confirmed by credible reporting consensus by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Person A win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person A: The named candidate becomes Tarrant County Judge following the November 3, 2026 election, confirmed by credible reporting consensus by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KX5VNMYR30",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DT6W7DG081",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3a821ced9c605a91e0784eb4dd0bcc7266c2b65f4c6cb2e1cb815737d65cf828",
      "question": "Will Person B win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person B: The named candidate becomes Tarrant County Judge following the November 3, 2026 election, confirmed by credible reporting consensus by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DT6W7DG081",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf1fcd78bb9aa2e67939ab7f7eceb61711a5911fb51787a16341ebf0f3f4d5720",
      "question": "Will Person C win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person C: The named candidate becomes Tarrant County Judge following the November 3, 2026 election, confirmed by credible reporting consensus by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DT6W7DG081",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xde9912c361451c5fa861ab1718183bb739df7ec57572b51c8d4ec5b69ba48eae",
      "question": "Will Person D win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person D: The named candidate becomes Tarrant County Judge following the November 3, 2026 election, confirmed by credible reporting consensus by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DT6W7DG081",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb53e6b011ce576a8a7b82bfcb7df19a028d600e0bfcea5f9e2ec9adb72368d29",
      "question": "Will Person E win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person E: The named candidate becomes Tarrant County Judge following the November 3, 2026 election, confirmed by credible reporting consensus by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DT6W7DG081",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa79b8ff247a1ea4f453626f0e4ec0a41cbfd9c950e13df0b1bcbb47f5ba621d8",
      "question": "Will Person F win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?",
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