{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TNWDRX4S25",
  "slug": "2nd-largest-company-end-of-august-20260715202554129",
  "question": "Will the second largest company by market capitalization exist at the end of August?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "market-cap-ranking",
    "tech",
    "economy",
    "finance",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which company will rank second globally by market capitalization at close on August 31, 2026. Each Polymarket contract isolates a single named company as a binary yes/no outcome. The contracts are mutually exclusive; probabilities across named candidates should sum near 100%. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing credible financial news sources at the August 31 close.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B0DDFQMBV4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.3,
    "implied_probability": 0.3
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TNWDRX4S25",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xed8e542d5af80b01820d07c172803fdf8705b6e01f37ffe4a0deaf99d0bf48bb",
      "question": "Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "NVIDIA: Market capitalization rankings as reported by credible financial news sources at market close on August 31, 2026, determine which listed company holds the second-largest global market cap position.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "score": 56,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.3,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 30,
      "volume_total_usd": 5571.8832299999995,
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      "question_id": "CMX-6C3C6B0633",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TNWDRX4S25",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4049ca0a1b185340ea007476e4edb35e16533b835f968db37a1dec6fe703c597",
      "question": "Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Microsoft: Market capitalization rankings as reported by credible financial news sources at market close on August 31, 2026, determine which listed company holds the second-largest global market cap position.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TNWDRX4S25",
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      "question": "Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x0acb6f98ca88bc50f416a771fe859187df65ea94b942ede45523c1d3f3027a92",
      "question": "Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "underlying_reference": "Tesla: Market capitalization rankings as reported by credible financial news sources at market close on August 31, 2026, determine which listed company holds the second-largest global market cap position.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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      "platform_market_id": "0x2e85fe1cae5faafd6856e9dcd9ab0b6850490c868a2926684175ab67577e5943",
      "question": "Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "question": "Will Company A be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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