{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-71PC3TRQP4",
  "slug": "abbas-araghchi-out-as-minister-of-foreign-affairs-of-iran-by",
  "question": "Will Abbas Araghchi no longer be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "iran-politics",
    "cabinet-changes",
    "middle-east",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Abbas Araghchi loses the Iranian Foreign Minister post across four sequential deadlines: March 31, April 30, May 31, and June 30, 2026. The markets are structurally tiered: each successive contract extends the resolution window, creating an implied hazard curve for his tenure. The March 31 contract resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle on April 1, 2026. Later expiries remain open, pricing cumulative removal probability through mid-2026.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TW3NF7KHR0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-71PC3TRQP4",
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      "question": "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by March 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified pos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual ceases to hold the specified ministerial position by May 1, 2026, 06:44 UTC, including announced resignations effective after market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "question": "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified pos",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "April 30: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual ceases to hold the specified ministerial position by May 1, 2026, 06:44 UTC, including announced resignations effective after market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "score": 37,
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0,
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      "volume_total_usd": 40479.80894700003,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-71PC3TRQP4",
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      "question": "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified pos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "May 31: The UMA Optimistic Oracle will resolve based on whether the named individual ceases to hold the specified ministerial position by May 1, 2026, 06:44 UTC, including announced resignations effective after market close.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 5605.544070000001,
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-75DVGGNNT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-71PC3TRQP4",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x0270d132cf6ce8035618aae1e445dfa994679d73443f85c285e4907bf796a1ef",
      "question": "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified pos",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-71PC3TRQP4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}