{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9VG7XDBF1",
  "slug": "alaska-at-large-primary-winners",
  "question": "Will the Alaska at-large primary produce winners by August 18, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "alaska",
    "primary",
    "us-congress"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance from Alaska's At-Large Congressional District primary in August 2026. Alaska uses a top-four open primary format, so each binary market resolves independently based on finish position. All six markets are Polymarket contracts resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The authoritative source for each is the named candidate's certified vote-getter rank in the official primary results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NZ7LM98T95",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.002,
    "implied_probability": 0.002
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-17V60XHJS3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9VG7XDBF1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd8881040f054beab402d71e97cb26f734045829f7e765014175a02ccb055e682",
      "question": "Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nick Begich III: The named candidate's finish among the top four vote-getters in Alaska's At-Large Congressional District primary on August 18, 2026, as certified by Alaska Division of Elections.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.984,
      "implied_probability": 0.984,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1731.3620989999988,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "at-large",
        "nick begich iii",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H6JBCR7H03",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9VG7XDBF1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcc296a0211d74f8c353b8163d15c14a5317ac1ddabefeacc8731952db446c8ab",
      "question": "Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bill Hill: The named candidate's finish among the top four vote-getters in Alaska's At-Large Congressional District primary on August 18, 2026, as certified by Alaska Division of Elections.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3655.972852,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "at-large",
        "bill hill",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8NXCW94928",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9VG7XDBF1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x995ad39b6a1229b24053884f210031773aba0819f37683008e8c3d8c0b214053",
      "question": "Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Matt Schultz: The named candidate's finish among the top four vote-getters in Alaska's At-Large Congressional District primary on August 18, 2026, as certified by Alaska Division of Elections.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3360.274574,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "at-large",
        "matt schultz",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NZ7LM98T95",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9VG7XDBF1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x95f03d57300156c530ecf4cd1febf0cc62d09e43654836a08ee3cb8573f8cf77",
      "question": "Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Gavin Solomon: The named candidate's finish among the top four vote-getters in Alaska's At-Large Congressional District primary on August 18, 2026, as certified by Alaska Division of Elections.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3991.246218,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "at-large",
        "gavin solomon",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JMGVBD5ZZ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9VG7XDBF1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2b9286de6659cefb18dc3bb4694b40d2c669f1443d8f1f82ee9e722af430714d",
      "question": "Will Matthew \"Bronco\" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Matthew \"Bronco\" Williams: The named candidate's finish among the top four vote-getters in Alaska's At-Large Congressional District primary on August 18, 2026, as certified by Alaska Division of Elections.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3153.4842699999995,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "at-large",
        "matthew bronco williams",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YXQHLK3HS1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9VG7XDBF1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x675acd6759a0dc0045749172632dc893c5e0dd3805de0a82687490e1c7f3669a",
      "question": "Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?",
      "description": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market wil",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "John Williams: The named candidate's finish among the top four vote-getters in Alaska's At-Large Congressional District primary on August 18, 2026, as certified by Alaska Division of Elections.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.56,
      "implied_probability": 0.56,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3710.543043,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "at-large",
        "john williams",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-D9VG7XDBF1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}