{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-552YG8W5J1",
  "slug": "alaska-governor-election-winner",
  "question": "Will Mark Begich win the 2026 Alaska Governor election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "alaska",
    "us-elections-2026",
    "governor-races",
    "state-elections"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election. Polymarket lists individual candidate win probabilities as separate binary contracts. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, requiring simultaneous calls from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. Traders should note that Alaska uses ranked-choice voting, which may delay a network call past election night.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-53SKZRGZF9",
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    "implied_probability": 0.005
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RK4DNPBTR5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-552YG8W5J1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb2fddc90e11d6c55351bfbd5c01e67323f4d177f55f612274a90da92d1ae68db",
      "question": "Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Click Bishop: The named candidate wins if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC simultaneously call the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race for that candidate, or by official state certification by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.026,
      "implied_probability": 0.026,
      "volume_24h_usd": 27.111181000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 11912.362724999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M7HRZ24Q91",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-552YG8W5J1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x807371dcb1fd0b3e3b406d8b2afa2f72285a896ae5198749a04b7d93c7b57529",
      "question": "Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Adam Crum: The named candidate wins if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC simultaneously call the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race for that candidate, or by official state certification by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2WR0G4LRK8",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe2edbfb83c9b0256b10c93e59f4677d942792ea014274d9c00dc72a38b3c2592",
      "question": "Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Edna DeVries: The named candidate wins if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC simultaneously call the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race for that candidate, or by official state certification by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "volume_24h_usd": 27.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 10071.901506000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J086QD2972",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-552YG8W5J1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x12923582cca8ff08ea1bb23e4e042b80e11fae9974d528d9f19249e5ad131f2a",
      "question": "Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Shelley Hughes: The named candidate wins if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC simultaneously call the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race for that candidate, or by official state certification by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 34.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 11377.462702000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PTXR6Z91M2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-552YG8W5J1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbc9964ab2e4e4886796e86263769e34451476172200f99e378e74adc6e202663",
      "question": "Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Treg Taylor: The named candidate wins if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC simultaneously call the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race for that candidate, or by official state certification by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.082,
      "implied_probability": 0.082,
      "volume_24h_usd": 27.108926,
      "volume_total_usd": 22447.43512399999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska governor election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QRJNFHDTK3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-552YG8W5J1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe4016942ae2f6c1b349ff44253cec219c4e09a18b05ff44e16ba500fbfffac1e",
      "question": "Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lisa Murkowski: The named candidate wins if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC simultaneously call the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race for that candidate, or by official state certification by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 34.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 19026.88792799999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska governor election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-53SKZRGZF9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-552YG8W5J1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x74a5ea8aed0261817e6be4371a73a9647bf143857c62bc66211c2d9b97d091a5",
      "question": "Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mary Peltola: The named candidate wins if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC simultaneously call the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race for that candidate, or by official state certification by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.005,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 27.1,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska governor election"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-90PQL6J169",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-552YG8W5J1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb2d876d58365e2c4c8af6a84df51a5425c8a3084b6485d7f4a10af29ce8f49e4",
      "question": "Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Hank Kroll: The named candidate wins if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC simultaneously call the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race for that candidate, or by official state certification by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".  \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",
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      "question": "Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?",
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      "question": "Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?",
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