{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZWS7ZJC18",
  "slug": "aligned-layer-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Will Aligned Layer's fully diluted valuation exceed ___ on the day after its launch?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "aligned-layer",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track AlignedLayer's token fully diluted valuation one day after its launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by price. Eight binary strike thresholds span $20M to $1B, forming an implied probability distribution over launch-day valuation. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle and close January 2028.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-T68LBNB0G1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.63,
    "implied_probability": 0.63
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T370YCFH58",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZWS7ZJC18",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1428e317d4e4ec8e24f334c3e190e01cf3eec1a6c19d57b0ea9e538cc41589d1",
      "question": "Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$50M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle at 4:00 PM ET one day after public trading launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.65,
      "implied_probability": 0.65,
      "volume_24h_usd": 125.17999999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 3443.928034999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CC7A42C311",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aligned",
        "aligned layer",
        "fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-18KJ7SNWW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZWS7ZJC18",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0fa526e72d64e022219a7d77ea0acdae15398f7f4df3457583af6f3c3769d9d4",
      "question": "Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle at 4:00 PM ET one day after public trading launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.47,
      "implied_probability": 0.47,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7646.079181000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CA229AC680",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aligned",
        "aligned layer",
        "fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X98002S540",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZWS7ZJC18",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbc7d5e7ec8150a51d706533126aff94f72b4a601d86c1ea0af0f27440ece91e6",
      "question": "Aligned FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$500M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle at 4:00 PM ET one day after public trading launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 139.103759,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3BCE5FD522",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aligned",
        "aligned layer",
        "fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YRXY3H7NL2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZWS7ZJC18",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0bf2886362575bc5be2e59a7b245207db43e500f2f04105994f1ec1ab03c5e54",
      "question": "Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle at 4:00 PM ET one day after public trading launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.106,
      "implied_probability": 0.106,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1508.84,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-79871E2769",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aligned",
        "aligned layer",
        "fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VDDTGQ6RM9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZWS7ZJC18",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb0653f1794f95243a40a66f2e62c6dae798bdbe8cfba04843b87ca3a092f0a4a",
      "question": "Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$20M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle at 4:00 PM ET one day after public trading launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.769,
      "implied_probability": 0.769,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3200.682229,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 20000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E3B34B0CE3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aligned",
        "aligned layer",
        "fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T68LBNB0G1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZWS7ZJC18",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2ed8f51819645d2cdb20eed1e57abd194d53cd307bf71efd07ec9359957230b9",
      "question": "Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle at 4:00 PM ET one day after public trading launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.63,
      "implied_probability": 0.63,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9052.947295999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-5B63FCA92C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aligned",
        "aligned layer",
        "fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XYC0ZL77D2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZWS7ZJC18",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x41d929e830bd779468d6905d441c05f6988f60b2905d03770378e3b32a1b3d70",
      "question": "Aligned FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$300M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle at 4:00 PM ET one day after public trading launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 427.20982799999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-098F0884DE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aligned",
        "aligned layer",
        "fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LK4BMQFPB4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZWS7ZJC18",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc373f82e9472779046f4aff5c73d4f8b0494673ea02c61c9c96e19d70c1b6e10",
      "question": "Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$800M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle at 4:00 PM ET one day after public trading launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/alignedlayer",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
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        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.058,
      "implied_probability": 0.058,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15,
      "volume_total_usd": 947.848911,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A91C05C212",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aligned",
        "aligned layer",
        "fdv",
        "launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DZWS7ZJC18",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}