{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FXYXDF9530",
  "slug": "andy-burnham-out-as-mayor-of-greater-manchester-by-may-31",
  "question": "Will Andy Burnham be out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "uk-politics",
    "andy-burnham",
    "greater-manchester",
    "2026",
    "political-tenure"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Andy Burnham departs the Greater Manchester mayoralty before two sequential deadlines. The May 31 contract prices near-term exit probability; the June 30 contract prices a one-month extension of that same binary outcome. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The May 31 market carries a resolve timestamp of June 1, 2026, reflecting a brief confirmation window post-deadline.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4N96CXS0S6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4N96CXS0S6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FXYXDF9530",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd6ff15a35757a2513027bcbabac619c63cd86c21caa643bbf1f175e053b52c60",
      "question": "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "May 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-01T12:37:47Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Andy Burnham",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "score": 55,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 133008.1702299999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "andy burnham mayor",
        "andy-burnham",
        "greater-manchester",
        "uk-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TVCF16S613",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FXYXDF9530",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x064f66e0be746249e72bc1d95d0e5f98b7600eeb0c74020f637f55ec5cfe00a2",
      "question": "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Andy Burnham",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 55,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 18.768530000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "andy burnham mayor",
        "andy-burnham",
        "greater-manchester",
        "uk-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TVCF16S613",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4N96CXS0S6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-01T12:37:47Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-FXYXDF9530",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}