{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CC0JN7NBZ5",
  "slug": "another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will another Iranian diplomat be expelled by June 30?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "diplomacy",
    "iran",
    "sanctions-and-expulsions",
    "2026",
    "international-relations"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether any national government will declare an Iranian diplomat persona non grata by June 30, 2026. Resolution depends on official foreign ministry announcements confirming an expulsion order. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle adjudicates the outcome against those government declarations. No corroborating platform structures this event at a different level or margin, limiting cross-platform triangulation.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-N9DWMT7SL1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N9DWMT7SL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CC0JN7NBZ5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7f960d900523fd31811d50d6779b2ab532c7f0216920721dbbc7e9c9e80ee748",
      "question": "Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official in",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official announcements by national governments or their foreign ministries declaring an Iranian diplomat persona non grata or ordering expulsion before June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.\n\nAn announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 405.61,
      "volume_total_usd": 12902.713981000028,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "expulsion",
        "geopolitics",
        "iran",
        "iranian diplomat expulsion"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N9DWMT7SL1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CC0JN7NBZ5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}