{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WJ156P6T41",
  "slug": "another-sp-500-company-buys-bitcoin-by-november-30",
  "question": "Will another S&P 500 company buy Bitcoin by 2027?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto",
    "corporate-adoption",
    "s-and-p-500",
    "2027",
    "institutional-investment"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether an additional S&P 500 constituent will add Bitcoin to its corporate treasury. The three Polymarket contracts share identical binary structure but differ by deadline: November 30, 2025, December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The November 2025 and December 2025 contracts have passed their deadlines and carry resolved status.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-H113LBKW79",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.191,
    "implied_probability": 0.191
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H113LBKW79",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WJ156P6T41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa2977abc7deda6e279d1e9b03703e69a745d629662de97a0115f36242a22d73d",
      "question": "Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announceme",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official announcements from qualifying companies",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.191,
      "implied_probability": 0.191,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 133959.5794330001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-14137F839E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500 company bitcoin",
        "adoption",
        "bitcoin",
        "corporate",
        "sp500"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VFPW14Q6H5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WJ156P6T41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x12433e93c2ab53dc391aa67495ac7f02c6be96928c75f61eb927de0dc59a91c1",
      "question": "Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announceme",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T14:13:37Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official announcements from qualifying companies",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2886.12802,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A1FB0AB474",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500 company bitcoin",
        "adoption",
        "bitcoin",
        "corporate",
        "sp500"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-140GFD1RQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WJ156P6T41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe56175e025b606bb6b89506da3b566071c0d2a82766b61e037dd0dd979b8f1e8",
      "question": "Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by November 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualify",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "November 30, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2025-12-01T07:54:28Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\").\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official announcements from qualifying companies",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 10435.741292,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DB042D91A6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500 company bitcoin",
        "adoption",
        "bitcoin",
        "corporate",
        "sp500"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VFPW14Q6H5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T14:13:37Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-140GFD1RQ0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2025-12-01T07:54:28Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WJ156P6T41",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}