{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3JDYSLTK7",
  "slug": "anthropic-acquired-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai",
    "business",
    "m-and-a",
    "anthropic",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Anthropic will be acquired before January 1, 2027. Only Polymarket lists this event, so no cross-platform structural comparison applies. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing official Anthropic statements or credible reporting consensus. The December 31, 2026 deadline creates a hard binary cutoff on acquisition completion.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9ZK3NG9YD3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.03,
    "implied_probability": 0.03
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9ZK3NG9YD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F3JDYSLTK7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x31377dfc28f477c6f1ce5f6badec3edd66fc27c8fa67af6c5f8a37e94fb113e9",
      "question": "Anthropic acquired before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nAn announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of cr",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official statements from Anthropic and/or its leadership, or consensus of credible reporting, regarding acquisition agreements by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nAn announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 137,
      "volume_total_usd": 27317.080873999974,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-42706017CF",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-02R6C17202",
          "price": 0.08
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "acquisition",
        "anthropic",
        "m&a"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-F3JDYSLTK7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}