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  "question": "Will Anthropic Claude score a target level on FrontierMath in 2026? (multi-level series)",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "ai-benchmarks",
    "claude",
    "math-reasoning",
    "frontier-math",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether any Anthropic Claude model reaches discrete score thresholds on the FrontierMath benchmark by February 2026. The four Polymarket contracts price binary outcomes at 25%, 30%, 40%, and 50% strike thresholds, forming an implied probability ladder across score levels. All four resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using Epoch AI's FrontierMath leaderboard as the authoritative source. The markets resolved in February 2026 per the resolve_at timestamp of 2026-02-06T04:05:15Z.",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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