{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
  "slug": "anthropic-ipo-by",
  "question": "Will Anthropic have an initial public offering by 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "anthropic",
    "ipo",
    "2027",
    "tech-equity"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Anthropic will complete an initial public offering by successive deadline dates through December 31, 2026. All six are Polymarket binary contracts structured as sequential strike thresholds: each later deadline implies the earlier ones resolved NO. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. No authoritative filing source is named; resolution relies on publicly verifiable IPO completion as assessed under that protocol.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6NN9PQBG80",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.06,
    "implied_probability": 0.06,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D6CWL94SR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x74c91f501c8b5ef282ef3901e1f4e3e516a08f5d9a972ca9a12d5f966432c616",
      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Ant",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T06:11:38Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official filings and announcements from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant securities exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official press releases from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 32230.993123000022,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5142C4A605",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "anthropic",
        "anthropic ipo",
        "ipo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3B599CRLP9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9ebc829a2458c28101b7834ebbbfe436d6f2b97b5018eaeb58018dafaf70966e",
      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Ant",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T06:04:05Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official filings and announcements from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant securities exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official press releases from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 75771.96042100003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-953E365DCC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "anthropic",
        "anthropic ipo",
        "ipo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6NN9PQBG80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2450ec499544c566d0de8bbd7739fb68b598c6ad380f0c1ddf3b731d42ec6b19",
      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Ant",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official filings and announcements from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant securities exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official press releases from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.05,
      "volume_total_usd": 266187.55530699994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7476183C73",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "anthropic",
        "anthropic ipo",
        "ipo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T6195P56M7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb40b0cd531184a1e436d23ca898e1590418187b116f387158753d1adb9853e47",
      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Ant",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official filings and announcements from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant securities exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official press releases from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.68,
      "implied_probability": 0.68,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3696.1974079999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 248147.54192999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4D70594555",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-VHJ14JV442",
          "price": 0.75
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "anthropic",
        "anthropic ipo",
        "ipo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JL32MC173",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8062cf78d93f9202f4c0a1018d141f4af35d486a368f07e65265f27d48b4e040",
      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Ant",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "October 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official filings and announcements from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant securities exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official press releases from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.36,
      "implied_probability": 0.36,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2370.031691,
      "volume_total_usd": 245181.863771,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-28C334F269",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "anthropic",
        "anthropic ipo",
        "ipo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WGQ7SPP0Z6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe51d222b2e68c3fb6ac597c74c024bb57b08f6e1a0b7374f1d652a857098f027",
      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Ant",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 15, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official filings and announcements from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant securities exchange",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official press releases from Anthropic",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2291.4380709999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 78876.358699,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-22FF6F456C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "anthropic",
        "anthropic ipo",
        "ipo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3B599CRLP9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-01T06:04:05Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D6CWL94SR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T06:11:38Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}