{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
  "slug": "anthropic-ipo-by",
  "question": "Will Anthropic have an IPO by 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "anthropic",
    "ipo",
    "2027",
    "tech-equity"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Anthropic completes an initial public offering by staggered deadlines spanning June 30 through December 31, 2026. All six markets are structured as binary outcome contracts on Polymarket, differing only by deadline date. The staggered strikes function as an implied probability term structure for IPO timing. All six resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6NN9PQBG80",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.15
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1428.034757,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5142C4A605",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "implied_probability": 0.15,
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      "question_id": "CMX-7476183C73",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9ebc829a2458c28101b7834ebbbfe436d6f2b97b5018eaeb58018dafaf70966e",
      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Ant",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "July 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2134.270165,
      "volume_total_usd": 29646.622490999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-953E365DCC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T6195P56M7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C4RW6TFKT1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb40b0cd531184a1e436d23ca898e1590418187b116f387158753d1adb9853e47",
      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Ant",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "last_price": 0.9,
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      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Ant",
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