{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8Z1T4V6954",
  "slug": "any-brazil-stf-justice-removed-by-impeachment-before-2027",
  "question": "Will any Brazil STF Justice be removed by impeachment before 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "brazil",
    "judicial-removal",
    "impeachment",
    "stf",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether any sitting justice on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court is permanently removed via impeachment before January 2027. Resolution is handled through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, which evaluates whether a qualifying removal occurred within the window. Only permanent removal via impeachment satisfies resolution; suspension or resignation would not qualify.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2CGNHVLZV2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.028,
    "implied_probability": 0.028
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2CGNHVLZV2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8Z1T4V6954",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcdeccd802e7a68c301931daa551181d7d7bb1b1df92b02e7e4c5c42e728aa026",
      "question": "Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nJustices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.\n\nImpeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether any Brazil Supreme Federal Court justice was permanently removed via impeachment or crime-of-responsibility trial by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nJustices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.\n\nImpeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the government of Brazil",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.028,
      "implied_probability": 0.028,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.51,
      "volume_total_usd": 82568.33182399994,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "brazil stf justice",
        "impeachment",
        "justice",
        "stf",
        "supreme court"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8Z1T4V6954",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}