{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HKKK5BD3T1",
  "slug": "applefold",
  "question": "Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "apple-foldable-phone",
    "product-announcement",
    "mobile-hardware",
    "consumer-tech",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Apple publicly announces a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026. The single Kalshi market prices a binary outcome resolved by Kalshi staff determination. Resolution hinges on what constitutes an official Apple announcement, a threshold Kalshi staff will define. No secondary platform market exists for cross-platform structural comparison.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JCM8CF7F31",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.97,
    "implied_probability": 0.97,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JCM8CF7F31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HKKK5BD3T1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "APPLEFOLD-26DEC31",
      "question": "Will Apple announce a foldable phone by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether Apple has publicly announced a foldable phone by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Apple has announced a foldable phone by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Apple",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.apple.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Apple",
            "url": "https://www.apple.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Apple",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 20.6028,
      "volume_total_usd": 159087.1974,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A5C4DDA7E0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "apple",
        "apple foldable iphone",
        "foldable",
        "iphone",
        "product announcement"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-HKKK5BD3T1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}