{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZG3N2852L2",
  "slug": "argentina-annual-inflation-2026",
  "question": "Will Argentina's annual inflation for 2026 be below 50%?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "inflation",
    "argentina-economy",
    "monetary-policy",
    "emerging-markets",
    "2027-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Argentina's full-year 2026 CPI inflation rate as reported by INDEC, the country's National Institute of Statistics and Census. Seven mutually exclusive Polymarket tranches span outcomes from under 20% to 45% and above, collectively forming a discrete probability distribution over the rate level. All seven resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against INDEC's December 2026 Consumer Price Index report, with a resolution date of January 10, 2027. INDEC methodology revisions or publication delays could affect settlement timing.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B0W2BNQS61",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.021,
    "implied_probability": 0.021
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JRX2T34BH6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZG3N2852L2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0256fee8c98ffd1dc894d310a772cfcd9ca0095f3f584c86c991d59ec6004091",
      "question": "Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?",
      "description": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released i",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "20-24.9%: Argentina's National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, measuring the 12-month percentage change, resolves this market by January 10, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "indec.gob.ar",
            "url": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.063,
      "implied_probability": 0.063,
      "volume_24h_usd": 56,
      "volume_total_usd": 2642.0265569999992,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": "CMX-28D56FCA83",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "argentina",
        "argentina annual inflation",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X8DQD1HQ99",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZG3N2852L2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdfd83fe76d9fc1d00e961f9ae72e6f41f10e682ef9a913d090d757becd458bcb",
      "question": "Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?",
      "description": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released i",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "30.0-34.9%: Argentina's National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, measuring the 12-month percentage change, resolves this market by January 10, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "indec.gob.ar",
            "url": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.489,
      "implied_probability": 0.489,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5872.483723,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": "CMX-A9E2D5404C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "argentina",
        "argentina annual inflation",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XZ3JZ62993",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZG3N2852L2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x444cb85ce07d3fb4e7628e9eb5d53d66da6211b8edbb608fac736b7b06addfa9",
      "question": "Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%?",
      "description": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released i",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "45%+: Argentina's National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, measuring the 12-month percentage change, resolves this market by January 10, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "indec.gob.ar",
            "url": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.026,
      "implied_probability": 0.026,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2837.875869,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 45,
      "question_id": "CMX-7B4C4B89E4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "argentina",
        "argentina annual inflation",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D8LQZ5V326",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZG3N2852L2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7a73d26a08dd80c28dae88d2efb2199a54b48815f846cb16b2dd88ba69493a91",
      "question": "Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?",
      "description": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released i",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "35–39.9%: Argentina's National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, measuring the 12-month percentage change, resolves this market by January 10, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "indec.gob.ar",
            "url": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.032,
      "implied_probability": 0.032,
      "volume_24h_usd": 21.02,
      "volume_total_usd": 2260.0457479999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 35,
      "question_id": "CMX-4081269A7F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "argentina",
        "argentina annual inflation",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B0W2BNQS61",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZG3N2852L2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9caf172337fa494c65ffb9d2f2241b9dce1ffa222efb681c959abcdd74ec164e",
      "question": "Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?",
      "description": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released i",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<20%: Argentina's National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, measuring the 12-month percentage change, resolves this market by January 10, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "indec.gob.ar",
            "url": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.021,
      "implied_probability": 0.021,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3816.9346430000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": "CMX-B56DE7FCD6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "argentina",
        "argentina annual inflation",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TMFF03V289",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZG3N2852L2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4ea5177566bdb21120d0e511fb37b33e8f5b1249f76c5fcdd8ef8d7a41817f45",
      "question": "Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?",
      "description": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released i",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "25-29.9%: Argentina's National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, measuring the 12-month percentage change, resolves this market by January 10, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "indec.gob.ar",
            "url": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7478.007807999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": "CMX-2D4CBF7CE6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "argentina",
        "argentina annual inflation",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1CXM812G26",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZG3N2852L2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd7c034efdfa0017c8ace417bd3e830d5ed3cea79ac756b704762530e18c80263",
      "question": "Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%?",
      "description": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released i",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40-44.9%: Argentina's National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, measuring the 12-month percentage change, resolves this market by January 10, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "indec.gob.ar",
            "url": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.indec.gob.ar/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.021,
      "implied_probability": 0.021,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2587.4789089999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": "CMX-59894B16E8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "argentina",
        "argentina annual inflation",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZG3N2852L2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}