{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Y6JDSVW06",
  "slug": "argentina-presidential-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the Argentina presidential election winner be determined by October 24, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "argentina",
    "2027",
    "executive-election",
    "latin-america"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2027 Argentina presidential election. Polymarket lists individual candidates as separate binary contracts, each resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Named candidates include incumbent Javier Milei, Sergio Massa, and Victoria Villarruel, alongside placeholder entries. Resolution is set for October 24, 2027, contingent on official Argentine electoral authority certification.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6074JXMJS0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.49,
    "implied_probability": 0.49
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x338f6f3e5ff30f189a7228290a66b9a4213722032da364c8635b496589ddfd3b",
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      "close_at": "2027-10-24T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-24T00:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.49,
      "implied_probability": 0.49,
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      "question": "Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?",
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      "close_at": "2027-10-24T00:00:00Z",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 60,
      "volume_total_usd": 29143.303838999993,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JRHLCWKS01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Y6JDSVW06",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb93645da237ae1fadcb886dc4155d5cbdf9d5f87ff1a1c4e6fa42099da0b9f7b",
      "question": "Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, ",
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      "close_at": "2027-10-24T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x8f5585c574b22f57399e0f7fdc2710000cd2530dd17e173fe911452bef46e534",
      "question": "Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?",
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        "rules_raw": "A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 60,
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M31JQPYRW1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Y6JDSVW06",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x22f05510fff106bf6675e3e7117ba2d56bae312a874d8686e3b2cdc0199a79cb",
      "question": "Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Dante Gebel: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-10-24T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-24T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1VRXDMN1Y9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6Y6JDSVW06",
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      "question": "Will Person B win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2027-10-24T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-24T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).",
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