{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8VRLGR9D8",
  "slug": "arizona-governor-winner-2026",
  "question": "Will the Arizona Governor election be won by the Republican candidate?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "arizona",
    "governor-race",
    "us-elections",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. All 13 markets are hosted on Polymarket and structured as candidate-specific binary contracts. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using an Associated Press race call as the authoritative source. Traders should note the Option A through J labeling likely reflects placeholder candidate slots pending primary outcomes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LFTDGLSQR9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.78,
    "implied_probability": 0.78
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LFTDGLSQR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8VRLGR9D8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaf874c80349379303164629c3962b1456f667ca1d44edf95e0474dd13483a4b3",
      "question": "Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrat: The named Democratic candidate's victory in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.78,
      "implied_probability": 0.78,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.84,
      "volume_total_usd": 25776.51206999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arizona",
        "arizona governor election",
        "democrat",
        "election",
        "governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PGD65BGS17",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8VRLGR9D8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8ccbfc876e2f979a0ab1423589abea04bb71512cc6bd5d9dbeef7f820b8f8e69",
      "question": "Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican: The named Democratic candidate's victory in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "official certification",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 23220.04490800003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "arizona governor election",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PPWRD204X8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8VRLGR9D8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4460dbf754a63e84ed8f4e9cb056f06576f362e325c900f2cb157f20eda016a0",
      "question": "Will Option A win the Arizona governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option A: The named Democratic candidate's victory in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arizona",
        "arizona governor election",
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GCXBFKYYG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8VRLGR9D8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x021ccd8b8266bcb8f7abe56ff9763201b9e317fb3a1bc921f1d5fb7c4bdf741e",
      "question": "Will Option B win the Arizona governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option B: The named Democratic candidate's victory in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arizona",
        "arizona governor election",
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N69WXS8B02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8VRLGR9D8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xedbc6171bea0197227607b49405af8f13838e898c944f7edf8d49d661d57788a",
      "question": "Will Option C win the Arizona governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option C: The named Democratic candidate's victory in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arizona",
        "arizona governor election",
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7FQXTDK857",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8VRLGR9D8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x05f409e8607c28d5f89213b362e8b0717b08541f5ca4f53c3ad574de90cdfd1b",
      "question": "Will Option D win the Arizona governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option D: The named Democratic candidate's victory in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arizona",
        "arizona governor election",
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VQHYF48QK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T8VRLGR9D8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb1329c7e32a07fa8f0fc220d016a61d226256c564978cb16096145e347f17d1a",
      "question": "Will Option E win the Arizona governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option E: The named Democratic candidate's victory in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. \n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
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