{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BSZ53QYGS1",
  "slug": "bahia-governor-election-winner",
  "question": "Will Jerônimo Rodrigues or João Roma win the Bahia gubernatorial election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "brazil",
    "gubernatorial",
    "2026",
    "bahia"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, scheduled to resolve October 4, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as candidate-specific binary contracts, one per named contender. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Brazil's Superior Electoral Court official results at tse.jus.br. Placeholder slots signal the field may expand as candidacies are formally registered.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-12NZSRK704",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.49
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BSZ53QYGS1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xc7dd27f1b8db1d7d9ea88ed4b56fb4c495c20a9313cf77f17b03904ade03c573",
      "question": "Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jerônimo Rodrigues: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) official results at www.tse.jus.br determine the named candidate's victory in the October 4, 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, with runoff results by October 25, 2026 if required.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.51,
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      "tags": [
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will João Roma win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "João Roma: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) official results at www.tse.jus.br determine the named candidate's victory in the October 4, 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, with runoff results by October 25, 2026 if required.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BSZ53QYGS1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x66983c2f9b6bb2bd0655c174e49369d7b088e23c098b2cb9186281778d5d2ed8",
      "question": "Will José Carlos Aleluia win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "José Carlos Aleluia: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) official results at www.tse.jus.br determine the named candidate's victory in the October 4, 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, with runoff results by October 25, 2026 if required.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HZ3J40B4W9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BSZ53QYGS1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x21aedb38af912388ea2e29e347d7e5f74cef866fc5f9b7c4a144b1b8b9f725e7",
      "question": "Will Kleber Rosa win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kleber Rosa: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) official results at www.tse.jus.br determine the named candidate's victory in the October 4, 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, with runoff results by October 25, 2026 if required.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0D8MY815V8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BSZ53QYGS1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf4d93cca92f955e774a3be75ba5b2ceed5eee2eed99f3a1385b5d9cbff00310a",
      "question": "Will Rui Costa win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Rui Costa: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) official results at www.tse.jus.br determine the named candidate's victory in the October 4, 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, with runoff results by October 25, 2026 if required.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BSZ53QYGS1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x392940d160dc73d30874c1b8c755597a276be18db3162dea8d6d57b47c26cd88",
      "question": "Will Bruno Soares Reis win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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      "question": "Will someone else win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JFK2QVVHF0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x1dc9397e94c5c45e923e01074659b0c0ca0bb7ba974ef5e3d03d4b9d99ee3671",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Placeholder 7 win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder 12: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) official results at www.tse.jus.br determine the named candidate's victory in the October 4, 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, with runoff results by October 25, 2026 if required.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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