{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H06H8553R0",
  "slug": "bank-of-brazil-decision-in-june",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Brazil make a decision in June?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "economic-policy",
    "central-banking",
    "brazil",
    "monetary-policy"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Banco do Brasil's Selic rate decision following its June 15-16, 2026 monetary policy meeting. Three binary contracts cover the full directional outcome space: increase, no change, and decrease. Probabilities across all three must sum to one, creating an implicit probability distribution over policy outcomes. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing the bank's official monetary policy statement.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DN1ZGXF2H5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H06H8553R0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x1b9241de79ca65e8ce76396b3845854363e5ae949f9eba70986f923fb4ecc9ce",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statem",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Increase: Bank of Brazil's official monetary policy statement following its June 15-16, 2026 meeting determines whether the Selic target rate decreased versus the prior level.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Bank of Brazil",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2506.874832,
      "volume_total_usd": 66881.94108499997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B9D1A31D16",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "question": "No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7735.87631,
      "volume_total_usd": 99496.49929199998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H06H8553R0",
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      "question": "Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statem",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Decrease: Bank of Brazil's official monetary policy statement following its June 15-16, 2026 meeting determines whether the Selic target rate decreased versus the prior level.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
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      "last_price": 1,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 6061.110196,
      "volume_total_usd": 120318.92136500016,
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    {
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      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
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