{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-R69N2KZRC1",
  "slug": "bank-of-canada-rate-hike-in-2026",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Canada raise its policy interest rate in 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "central-banking",
    "canada",
    "monetary-policy",
    "interest-rates",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the Bank of Canada raises its target overnight rate at any point in 2026. Resolution depends on the Bank of Canada's official rate announcements through December 31, 2026. Only Polymarket is active here, pricing a binary yes/no outcome via the UMA Optimistic Oracle Polymarket uses for resolution. No cross-platform structural comparison is possible with a single market.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HCPNP8V7X7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.3,
    "implied_probability": 0.3
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HCPNP8V7X7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R69N2KZRC1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x22679bf61a35842e34ce6ae5648949007960ee9c3f8bd3b7f06c531e8a7b7c14",
      "question": "Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bank of Canada's official announcement of its target overnight rate on its website through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bankofcanada.ca",
            "url": "https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bank of Canada",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bankofcanada.ca",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18757.605458999995,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-16898360FC",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-NS4SXSW7Q0",
          "price": 0.37
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bank canada policy",
        "boc",
        "canada",
        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-R69N2KZRC1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}