{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G3JXC6KJ56",
  "slug": "bank-of-england-decision-in-september-20260623013317237",
  "question": "Will the Bank of England make a decision in September?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "finance",
    "interest-rates",
    "central-banking",
    "uk-monetary-policy"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee's policy rate decision on September 17, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as five discrete binary outcomes spanning cuts of 50-plus bps, a 25 bps cut, no change, a 25 bps hike, and hikes of 50-plus bps. Each contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the official MPC statement. The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee statement is the authoritative source for resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NNDYRK5V79",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.452,
    "implied_probability": 0.452
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3KCXCJRWP7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G3JXC6KJ56",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa3d258b9b894d80e45370fffc1334167dacea20235e720419c8460acf66c8a7b",
      "question": "Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the stateme",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "50+ bps decrease: Bank of England's official Monetary Policy Committee statement on September 17, 2026 determines the basis point change in the Bank Rate from the prior meeting level.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-17T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-17T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bankofengland.co.uk",
            "url": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the Bank of England",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official Bank of England calendar",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bank of England",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3619.901666,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": -50,
      "question_id": "CMX-F186043BB0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank england base",
        "boe",
        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5VQNCLGL82",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G3JXC6KJ56",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x34aba3319b47b454f10a8bfcf92ac860b83558c3bb386f727d6a9efbc3a70c24",
      "question": "Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the stateme",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "25 bps decrease: Bank of England's official Monetary Policy Committee statement on September 17, 2026 determines the basis point change in the Bank Rate from the prior meeting level.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-17T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-17T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bankofengland.co.uk",
            "url": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the Bank of England",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official Bank of England calendar",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bank of England",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3685.9373419999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": -25,
      "question_id": "CMX-6E3F64E34A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank england base",
        "boe",
        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GN4V9MB4V2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G3JXC6KJ56",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb93e1dd5e36e121b8a6bbb1bd2dabe67529cf60079f8551e34a851fb53965ce6",
      "question": "No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the stateme",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "No change: Bank of England's official Monetary Policy Committee statement on September 17, 2026 determines the basis point change in the Bank Rate from the prior meeting level.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-17T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-17T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bankofengland.co.uk",
            "url": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the Bank of England",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official Bank of England calendar",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Bank of England",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.57,
      "implied_probability": 0.57,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1350.575756,
      "volume_total_usd": 20579.86359499999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-A5AEF9B459",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "boe",
        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NNDYRK5V79",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G3JXC6KJ56",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x79a0fd862ff0d47c958f4e51a0abc8d76daabd0e8c6b3af0ffe4ca325ba66971",
      "question": "Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the stateme",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "25 bps increase: Bank of England's official Monetary Policy Committee statement on September 17, 2026 determines the basis point change in the Bank Rate from the prior meeting level.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-17T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-17T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
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          {
            "name": "official information from the Bank of England",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Bank of England",
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.452,
      "implied_probability": 0.452,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3271.886918,
      "volume_total_usd": 21712.482294999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": "CMX-24D17152C8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "monetary-policy"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X7ZYFBFYJ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G3JXC6KJ56",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3fe44164908dec929b1de93632009d8e776275b1a56391177e58b8b4f01febbf",
      "question": "Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the stateme",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "50+ bps increase: Bank of England's official Monetary Policy Committee statement on September 17, 2026 determines the basis point change in the Bank Rate from the prior meeting level.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-17T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-17T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "official information from the Bank of England",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official Bank of England calendar",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "Bank of England",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": 504.984,
      "volume_total_usd": 10922.573522000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": "CMX-76A998D8D5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank england base",
        "boe",
        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-G3JXC6KJ56",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}