{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6D88JFZCW1",
  "slug": "bank-of-england-rate-hike-in-2026",
  "question": "Will the Bank of England raise interest rates in 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "monetary-policy",
    "interest-rates",
    "central-banking",
    "uk-economy"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the Bank of England raises its policy rate at any point through December 31, 2026. A single hike at any Monetary Policy Committee meeting would resolve the contract affirmative. Only Polymarket is listed here; no cross-platform structural contrast applies. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing Bank of England official Bank Rate announcements.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-41P6ZN6Q33",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.43,
    "implied_probability": 0.43
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-41P6ZN6Q33",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6D88JFZCW1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf41cdb3c4e9921acd070fa36fb567f4075284a2e3b89f06a1a23667aeecdc545",
      "question": "Bank of England rate hike in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bank of England's official announcements of changes to the Bank Rate through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may not resolve to \"No\" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bankofengland.co.uk",
            "url": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bankofengland.co.uk",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.43,
      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 46717.510278000016,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7B900BD666",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank england base",
        "boe",
        "interest rates",
        "monetary policy",
        "uk"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-6D88JFZCW1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}