{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0296WV97L4",
  "slug": "bank-of-japan-decision-in-june",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Japan make a decision in June?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "economic-policy",
    "central-banking",
    "japan",
    "monetary-policy"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bank of Japan's policy rate decision expected June 16, 2026. Polymarket structures the event across four mutually exclusive binaries: no change, a 25 bps increase, a 50+ bps increase, or a decrease. Together they form a complete probability distribution over all rate outcomes. Resolution relies on the Bank of Japan's Statement on Monetary Policy, processed through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-D642ZDH5M5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0296WV97L4",
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      "question": "Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a c",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "50+ bps increase: The Bank of Japan's Statement on Monetary Policy released June 16, 2026 determines the basis point change in the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate versus pre-meeting levels, rounded to nearest 25 bps.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Bank of Japan",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10459.481640999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 163721.683813,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": "CMX-9C44D6BB90",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "question": "Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a c",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "grade": "B",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question_id": "CMX-1758666995",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QY91TMH2H7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0296WV97L4",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe2fc1b6f5e644f939e090c42c309a498db86fb3bc20c02f05021ab42f1567de7",
      "question": "No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a c",
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      "underlying_reference": "No change: The Bank of Japan's Statement on Monetary Policy released June 16, 2026 determines the basis point change in the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate versus pre-meeting levels, rounded to nearest 25 bps.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 78,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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    {
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