{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W2PF26XCH5",
  "slug": "bank-of-mexico-decision-in-june",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico make a decision in June?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economic-policy",
    "economy",
    "central-banking",
    "interest-rates",
    "mexico"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bank of Mexico's June 25, 2026 policy decision on the target overnight interbank interest rate. Three separate Polymarket binary contracts cover each discrete outcome: increase, decrease, or no change. All three resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Bank of Mexico's official announcement. Taken together, the contracts imply a full probability distribution across all possible policy actions.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QCS6DHNGR7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.941,
    "implied_probability": 0.941
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QCS6DHNGR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W2PF26XCH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7fc2ef7c733fb853dc3247e6ac9f8740265ed5c41423400dfadd4b4601e9cdce",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant da",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "No change: Bank of Mexico's official announcement on June 25, 2026 determines whether the target overnight interbank interest rate changed from the prior meeting level.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bank of Mexico",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Bank of Mexico",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.941,
      "implied_probability": 0.941,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 12898.412875999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-77ED7AFCD1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank mexico interest",
        "banxico",
        "mexico",
        "monetary-policy"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F58H4MC5F3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W2PF26XCH5",
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      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Decrease: Bank of Mexico's official announcement on June 25, 2026 determines whether the target overnight interbank interest rate changed from the prior meeting level.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
        "sources": [
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1721.9998029999997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": "CMX-73D2862CA0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MF3VGX4647",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W2PF26XCH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb6233af1a33b9803a8cc50d587ad4a281d18afeb5ca897e95a03c069532d2615",
      "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the June meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant da",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Increase: Bank of Mexico's official announcement on June 25, 2026 determines whether the target overnight interbank interest rate changed from the prior meeting level.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Bank of Mexico",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.017,
      "implied_probability": 0.017,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2602.8238079999996,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F61EF1203E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank mexico interest",
        "banxico",
        "mexico",
        "monetary-policy"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-W2PF26XCH5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}