{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LFSBZPWDT0",
  "slug": "bank-of-mexico-decision-in-september-20260623015231258",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico make a decision in September?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "finance",
    "central-banking",
    "mexico",
    "interest-rates"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Banco de Mexico policy rate decision at its September 24, 2026 meeting. All five markets are Polymarket binaries, each pricing a discrete rate-change outcome: cuts of 50-plus or 25 bps, no change, or hikes of 25 or 50-plus bps. Together they form a full probability distribution over possible policy actions. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing Banco de Mexico's official post-meeting statement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9XWH1Z3Y80",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.9,
    "implied_probability": 0.9
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1HW4V3Y9F7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LFSBZPWDT0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xac935653c579ec3d4e96f72edbf4148a40e819a2f7010149b631a132c6745236",
      "question": "Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "50+ bps decrease: Bank of Mexico's official statement from its September 24, 2026 meeting resolves this market based on the change in basis points to the overnight interbank interest rate target.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-24T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-24T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. \n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. \n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.  If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "banxico.org.mx",
            "url": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the Bank of Mexico",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official Bank of Mexico calendar",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bank of Mexico",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1050.39785,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": -50,
      "question_id": "CMX-F1CD246F41",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank mexico interest",
        "banxico",
        "mexico",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D2970ZPTZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LFSBZPWDT0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9e656cb04dd58e1e1f05f6d752f72baa28101a9ce06971d340fabb880d0e83fd",
      "question": "Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "25 bps decrease: Bank of Mexico's official statement from its September 24, 2026 meeting resolves this market based on the change in basis points to the overnight interbank interest rate target.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-24T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-24T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. \n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. \n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.  If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "banxico.org.mx",
            "url": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the Bank of Mexico",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official Bank of Mexico calendar",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bank of Mexico",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.095,
      "implied_probability": 0.095,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 6947.120389000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": -25,
      "question_id": "CMX-A125FC22A9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank mexico interest",
        "banxico",
        "mexico",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9XWH1Z3Y80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LFSBZPWDT0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x66c2d09327e604232b6233316c6abbbf2e9ba7fbc93c41771fc9fe3ec90feb7f",
      "question": "No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "No change: Bank of Mexico's official statement from its September 24, 2026 meeting resolves this market based on the change in basis points to the overnight interbank interest rate target.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-24T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-24T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. \n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. \n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.  If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "banxico.org.mx",
            "url": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the Bank of Mexico",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official Bank of Mexico calendar",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bank of Mexico",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7.29,
      "volume_total_usd": 18164.215116999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-59D88B8F9F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank mexico interest",
        "banxico",
        "mexico",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KZVC0G5KY9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LFSBZPWDT0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x65b75bcfe87492100110a4e63cad39c33f752881b3a1230eeb94b6b187633258",
      "question": "Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "25 bps increase: Bank of Mexico's official statement from its September 24, 2026 meeting resolves this market based on the change in basis points to the overnight interbank interest rate target.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-24T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-24T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. \n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. \n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.  If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "banxico.org.mx",
            "url": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the Bank of Mexico",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official Bank of Mexico calendar",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bank of Mexico",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.027,
      "implied_probability": 0.027,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2400.173697,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": "CMX-F0C4E2B6B3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank mexico interest",
        "banxico",
        "mexico",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FWWYFBCFQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LFSBZPWDT0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x75fd474a03daf18a5ebb544a63003af45230d6de17eecd9653d2f551cf2fa9f9",
      "question": "Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "50+ bps increase: Bank of Mexico's official statement from its September 24, 2026 meeting resolves this market based on the change in basis points to the overnight interbank interest rate target.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-24T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-24T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. \n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. \n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.  If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "banxico.org.mx",
            "url": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from the Bank of Mexico",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official Bank of Mexico calendar",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bank of Mexico",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 881.0223000000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": "CMX-F1CD246F41",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bank mexico interest",
        "banxico",
        "mexico",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-LFSBZPWDT0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}