{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1LVB85ZD22",
  "slug": "ben-pasternak-in-jail",
  "question": "Will Ben Pasternak be jailed by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "business",
    "legal-consequence",
    "2026",
    "ben-pasternak",
    "incarceration"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Ben Pasternak will be jailed by December 31, 2026. The single Polymarket contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Resolution requires confirmation from U.S. government records or credible reporting. No cross-platform structural contrast exists; only one market is active.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SN92RZYRR3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.012,
    "implied_probability": 0.012
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SN92RZYRR3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1LVB85ZD22",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaf8af26fd0522422ae133c8c6c19c6e85d9122f2a640f1911c4efac179f91a72",
      "question": "Ben Pasternak jailed?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "U.S. Government records or credible reporting confirm whether Ben Pasternak serves time in federal, state, or local U.S. custody by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the U.S. Government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 55,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.012,
      "implied_probability": 0.012,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 51350.44788899999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4D0D8A1019",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ben pasternak",
        "incarceration",
        "legal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1LVB85ZD22",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}