{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
  "slug": "best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592",
  "question": "Will the best Chinese AI company be determined by the end of August?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai",
    "tech",
    "china",
    "ai-models",
    "corporate-ranking"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which Chinese AI company holds the top rank on the Arena.ai Text Arena Overall Leaderboard on August 31, 2026. Each Polymarket contract covers a single named company as a binary outcome. Together, the contracts form a mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive set across the Chinese AI field. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Arena.ai leaderboard snapshot.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-N7Y4VMGP00",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.64,
    "implied_probability": 0.64
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N7Y4VMGP00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x616841e9a65363fcc9a59ddd8adfecc7f3592a18689b95f2f5807dc43174f282",
      "question": "Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Alibaba: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard highest rank among primarily Chinese companies on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company owns the best model.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.64,
      "implied_probability": 0.64,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13.125,
      "volume_total_usd": 3821.884738,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-574AF9CA57",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "best chinese ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MSTWHK5N79",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfc75b689cb70c00a2f82b17d74909f4feef61f8e40eaf8855478a9cb036829be",
      "question": "Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Moonshot: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard highest rank among primarily Chinese companies on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company owns the best model.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15,
      "volume_total_usd": 1849.0293540000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7B7ECEEC6B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "best chinese ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FM1HVR3493",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf61ed4922c5eb6a2b0ca1032b6bc6cad7b5f6b80257f84163e0096a5eef41e17",
      "question": "Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Baidu: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard highest rank among primarily Chinese companies on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company owns the best model.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.016,
      "implied_probability": 0.016,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 1269.453137,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-75307D94CE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "best chinese ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6D09QD9Q13",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3bd7a4e152d750f130ee7a7a4e6ba1448df431a6b15602a3a0f11507d18c4959",
      "question": "Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Z.ai: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard highest rank among primarily Chinese companies on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company owns the best model.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 1247.8409980000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-56A49C6728",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "best chinese ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DCL54ZPBZ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x982954d5d266c1740089d48df00943a3c9f2652135b2eead5725a43d1b2c8373",
      "question": "Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Xiaomi: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard highest rank among primarily Chinese companies on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company owns the best model.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai",
            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.016,
      "implied_probability": 0.016,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 846.8718100000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-1EB3CC3123",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "best chinese ai"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZDS6SGS2M5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2d51c1d88e223740e0eb82b925e53d532a986704fd364d3cfa1ccd2e22196649",
      "question": "Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "DeepSeek: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard highest rank among primarily Chinese companies on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company owns the best model.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa8d5e89b71230068215ba497c6bb31b9980e68a5a1fea3e23ae3ef6654f132c5",
      "question": "Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcbc83b187ea80fd836cfc164ca020a9d748982fb6dcacb3b5567f6cff777869d",
      "question": "Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
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      "question": "Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Meituan: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard highest rank among primarily Chinese companies on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company owns the best model.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [],
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DCC7AC718E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc51be95674a50256db5ae234fa93ae5c7562c6db2a2e10e0760b300c9aff008c",
      "question": "Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tencent: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard highest rank among primarily Chinese companies on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company owns the best model.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 158.76,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C0D57AB687",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MTCXYSYMG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7b5ee0911b877d6f4b2f4b8b7d7cea7cd104eb7bde174da6f5ed507175f34d48",
      "question": "Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "StepFun: Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard highest rank among primarily Chinese companies on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET determines which company owns the best model.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "arena.ai Text Arena (Overall)",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 1008.84925,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-07235D04F7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7C225M5DF6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3K8WGSL9C1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc7bc66765d596ff40321034d80b3b81d0731294abec3db79f35c5e415808dcf5",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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