{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LG9QKJHH84",
  "slug": "betmoar-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Betmoar fully diluted valuation, one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      20000000,
      50000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 20000000,
        "prob": 72
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50000000,
        "prob": 20
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 15
      },
      {
        "threshold": 200000000,
        "prob": 7
      },
      {
        "threshold": 400000000,
        "prob": 7
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "betmoar",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Betmoar's fully diluted valuation one day post-launch. All five are Polymarket binary strikes at $20M, $50M, $100M, $200M, and $400M. Together they form an implied FDV distribution curve across discrete thresholds. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, measuring token price multiplied by total supply at 4:00 PM ET on the day following public launch.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-C4P93FTKW0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.3,
    "implied_probability": 0.3
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5RTG5ND3D9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LG9QKJHH84",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbc8cb64b9776884fc7de2fc9bf0ca5aaa1c7e64bee609596fa4f47b286d96b97",
      "question": "Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Betmoar's official token price multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/betmoardotfun",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.65,
      "implied_probability": 0.65,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 19098.305075000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 20000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CE52382BC2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "betmoar",
        "betmoar fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C4P93FTKW0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LG9QKJHH84",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7f03bba1f41efeded8b4fe13cc8e2c26287a897abc2fc64bbbcc46531c1aad21",
      "question": "Betmoar FDV above $50M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Betmoar's official token price multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/betmoardotfun",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.03,
      "volume_total_usd": 3370.018430000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-59216847A7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "betmoar",
        "betmoar fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LSLTT7XKM1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LG9QKJHH84",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaa393fedb4a67e127456ae9266d0315f24b89fceaa7cebc93795dc50c4b0a811",
      "question": "Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Betmoar's official token price multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/betmoardotfun",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7587.967836999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C15213BCEA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "betmoar",
        "betmoar fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YHBYD43S51",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LG9QKJHH84",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfbd05a63c220b807c1e933620b6380d5f5b574cf2de54e9c72e9a778ede7e12c",
      "question": "Betmoar FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Betmoar's official token price multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/betmoardotfun",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.068,
      "implied_probability": 0.068,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1099.1306769999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-16D9E16CA2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "betmoar",
        "betmoar fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GQ2PG4Y624",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LG9QKJHH84",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x05041c2c569df306f380a10ba933d1969e1ecd0f6f66b08572e4ce87490e62b9",
      "question": "Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Betmoar's official token price multiplied by total token supply, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "x.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/betmoardotfun",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1137.7463050000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 400000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B935B102C9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "betmoar",
        "betmoar fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-LG9QKJHH84",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}