{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0GB7Z6FR58",
  "slug": "bill-clinton-divorce-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Bill Clinton be divorced by June 30?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "pop-culture",
    "personal-relationships",
    "clinton-family",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton will announce a divorce intention by June 30, 2026. Only one market exists, structured as a binary outcome on Polymarket. Resolution requires a public announcement by either party or their representatives. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle governs settlement against that disclosure standard.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y84KSQY6Z9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y84KSQY6Z9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0GB7Z6FR58",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcecd1388983a8e8afebab7d3f9e226f894f74e1b03c5579e8c4afa7e6b0ab9f3",
      "question": "Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reportin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "A public announcement by Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton or their representatives of intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, confirmed by credible media reporting.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "credible media reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 36.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 683541.4738299999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bill clinton",
        "bill clinton divorce",
        "personal",
        "politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y84KSQY6Z9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0GB7Z6FR58",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}