{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
  "slug": "bitcoin-above-on-august-5-2026",
  "question": "Bitcoin price, August 5, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      62000,
      64000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 54000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 56000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 58000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 62000,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 64000,
        "prob": 49
      },
      {
        "threshold": 66000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 68000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70000,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 72000,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 74000,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-prediction",
    "binary-outcome",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Bitcoin's spot price against eleven discrete strike thresholds on August 5, 2026. Each binary contract resolves YES if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET clears its respective level. The strike ladder from $54,000 to $74,000 forms an implied probability distribution across price levels. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing Binance as the authoritative price feed.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DB0T8SJWP3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1,
    "as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B4T6MC8PB4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5f1a31e89b7df89dca2c2503e99e57cd3542732b4828298955d9b1872980b8a7",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "54,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3200,
      "volume_total_usd": 10521.348368000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 54000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DC5C168FFE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P70026BMP6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x296947b2f8676e79f52cc1c7bddbcc2e394bdff92f33abc59f8042548d5370ed",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "56,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 36011.445956999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 69769.82221700002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 56000,
      "question_id": "CMX-6FE5F6EBCD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4YTDRXB1V8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc49cf2be49a8bdb1adfafe97e5e01649166e4fd91e9bdc4d6ddec90d5d6f14a0",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "58,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 45108.238437,
      "volume_total_usd": 113428.05492499997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 58000,
      "question_id": "CMX-554739F3E1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S5DQJ025J2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa54e7b931f21f01218b6da3d456f1f45aacaefacd6cb2ca6d9424d1f99256be9",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 55925.136795,
      "volume_total_usd": 92727.404105,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1F1E60E496",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J2WG727XR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf10b8e2e73b41d7564ae45a015209a820c156afd8d2686578800aae3fe0052e4",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "62,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 43497.767155999994,
      "volume_total_usd": 64803.69056,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 62000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CC1CE0156B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DB0T8SJWP3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2cea3b76ed5f00d19f275e88bd16f759a7a481c72888ec3965ef85a80ed76717",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "64,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 23553.805201999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 33921.19096400001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 64000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8080346D3D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZS4WQW8QY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaf6bff9896e68c0ab490ea8c38b781c653e4e7b2a007f4c958161849bee821d0",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "66,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 46632.80333200002,
      "volume_total_usd": 78147.34920099998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 66000,
      "question_id": "CMX-AA5CB6B391",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZTYH636MC4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2763e1a181593429cf1d7ed24399e95197e178a1a5dd1148514e3ba6b1fc0132",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "68,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 28272.180554000006,
      "volume_total_usd": 48652.09471700001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 68000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B2CC7ACD6F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
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      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CJL1D88C38",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x71a8a5ce816babdce737194efd26da66fc3a5f78a57b794da3b1a2abea0acf4a",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "70,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1D53BE4BCA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "btc",
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      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HJ2D5CT9T0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x642451841cc6dd41ce5bb380d02b35addb5c9dd758c996b5975ad25cb7c8759b",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "72,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 10728.428,
      "volume_total_usd": 14394.183830000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 72000,
      "question_id": "CMX-120A35EE9B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "btc",
        "price"
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      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1ba5f3e6769e8dc16710fc36aa2326dcca9839ac0e9f0b7c51e029a892266a4a",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "74,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 1000,
      "volume_total_usd": 2916.8689080000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 74000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F21C188A77",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null,
      "last_checked_at": null,
      "reconciled_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z"
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B4T6MC8PB4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:47Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZS4WQW8QY3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:47Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P70026BMP6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:44Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4YTDRXB1V8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:44Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DB0T8SJWP3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:44Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CJL1D88C38",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:44Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HJ2D5CT9T0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:44Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J2WG727XR6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:32Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S5DQJ025J2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:30Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZTYH636MC4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:30Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QS5TXYH0V4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-08-05T16:12:30Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-09-17T20:26:28.523Z",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XXCZ8XCDH1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}