{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
  "slug": "bitcoin-above-on-august-7-2026",
  "question": "Bitcoin price, August 7, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      64000,
      66000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 52000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 54000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 56000,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 58000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60000,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 62000,
        "prob": 89
      },
      {
        "threshold": 64000,
        "prob": 53
      },
      {
        "threshold": 66000,
        "prob": 13
      },
      {
        "threshold": 68000,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70000,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 72000,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-level",
    "2026",
    "crypto",
    "spot-price"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Bitcoin's spot price against eleven discrete strike thresholds on August 7, 2026. Each contract is a binary resolving YES if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 p.m. ET exceeds its respective strike. Taken together, the strike ladder implies a market-derived probability distribution across the $52,000-$72,000 range. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol, with Binance serving as the sole authoritative price source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LQKRJ0XGB8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.13,
    "implied_probability": 0.13
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VG90XY3WJ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x17262f540a2b46214384e00caabe1b4f718a95ee5f218ae1270e1a745f4ff17c",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "52,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5378.414000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 7464.768387,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 52000,
      "question_id": "CMX-10A5DC240C",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-98NP7BPYM4",
          "price": 0.99
        },
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-7C8KH6F0T2",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MK602BBPY4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x891ba48f1d9eb2534f570c9aafd48782384415d73986342442c1f962123caf88",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "54,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.998,
      "implied_probability": 0.998,
      "volume_24h_usd": 377.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 693.331666,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 54000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CE4CECFE65",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-BJNJ6L5KC9",
          "price": 0.98
        },
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-TR824GKD16",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HB9QJCYRG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x877789ef3fd3de338894bc49a9f1631811ca76fa53cae7bfc5dbd77a6a84fd30",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "56,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.981,
      "implied_probability": 0.981,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4905.516716,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 56000,
      "question_id": "CMX-54022AB74E",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-TD57X87SF9",
          "price": 0.97
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QYZ675TRD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x470dfcea9e6b3afb3ea110651ac3f167fdc7380e4cb6a484f79a4c1de2964718",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "58,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8400.867107000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 30060.56213000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 58000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B1C859D196",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-PPY59RXT56",
          "price": 0.98
        },
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-WBYK9B8MR2",
          "price": 0.02
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FFR29M4ZR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x193a982608697f8c01d84978ac3728a957a7202820acfcb5084d2b6b4e5cdabb",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.979,
      "implied_probability": 0.979,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14107.144145,
      "volume_total_usd": 23393.076229000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60000,
      "question_id": "CMX-975D72667D",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-019PVDM3K8",
          "price": 0.95
        },
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-G45D7B55C3",
          "price": 0.01
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3XJLQLV922",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5a7c9f92d6fe2f30f5d8bde33fc7971726a9e90e15b6b232b713ba87368eb6c8",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "62,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9514.954614,
      "volume_total_usd": 19024.409858000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 62000,
      "question_id": "CMX-325955D092",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-J9V5VZWY64",
          "price": 0.87
        },
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZKMWCZ59W5",
          "price": 0.06
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NJ8YW10DP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb3be881fe3eacfa2cb7cf461ad10e5dd783ff3e92ed322c1847a422cd35da25a",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "64,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1036.218615,
      "volume_total_usd": 8218.069054,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 64000,
      "question_id": "CMX-EE18162D6C",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-S2MS1XBX62",
          "price": 0.47
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LQKRJ0XGB8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd8aa759cd108c3c896bb78a554e1d13475821456f04504e1191b93cb17c252a1",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "66,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1471.919771,
      "volume_total_usd": 4634.134290999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 66000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C05F09E1F0",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-JW37G8Q478",
          "price": 0.13
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5WGBJ2Q9T0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x71ba050d758b7bbeac6888e4f1508221e32c983c250ea038d5b93c19e266939f",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "68,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.017,
      "implied_probability": 0.017,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3030.642734,
      "volume_total_usd": 12938.36815,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 68000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3DAAF8FC4C",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-8TCYJLQ9W5",
          "price": 0.03
        },
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-TD8SRYB359",
          "price": 0.01
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6B0FGWMFF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0dfa3818dbe5f8299ccce7c15c6c6149b1350335a846d9e02b8657be07bbb6b2",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "70,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.022,
      "implied_probability": 0.022,
      "volume_24h_usd": 819.591578,
      "volume_total_usd": 2666.5977409999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E234AE6BF9",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-WXQMDY5VJ4",
          "price": 0.03
        },
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-KZXTS7VHN2",
          "price": 0.02
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FTQDWRVQP1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x98c400693bc0eecc8318fc2ea165615525ed19c0ac4aff840fd2dcec55d943b3",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 7?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "72,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price at 12:00 p.m. ET on August 7, 2026, determines whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 471.03111,
      "volume_total_usd": 1036.5308519999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 72000,
      "question_id": "CMX-ADE813167D",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-CLPCW63KS8",
          "price": 0.01
        },
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-VF2BFMNK55",
          "price": 0
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XG8L45DQX9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}