{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
  "slug": "bitcoin-above-on-august-9-2026",
  "question": "Bitcoin price, August 9, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      64000,
      66000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 54000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 56000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 58000,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60000,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 62000,
        "prob": 85
      },
      {
        "threshold": 64000,
        "prob": 52
      },
      {
        "threshold": 66000,
        "prob": 18
      },
      {
        "threshold": 68000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70000,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026",
    "short-term-forecast"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Bitcoin's spot price against eleven discrete strike thresholds on August 9, 2026. Each binary contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET. The strike ladder from $54,000 to $74,000 implies a market-derived probability distribution across the full price range. Resolution depends on a single Binance print, making venue-specific liquidity disruptions a material caveat.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WYC0V9Z2V0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.18,
    "implied_probability": 0.18
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NT95Q9Z7J3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0b4b6dbb8fa4599cdb44d74365de5e50473bda629ebc8b97c3cf579ba2e2de48",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "54,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 205,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 54000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FA708D0DC8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MTTFT6X5W3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc232605e65f2d1609a157455fcd124bef014c6950e518a577369ded9c59d9054",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "56,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 3485,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 56000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1C4E140500",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C65N8Z4VJ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x082c43e524ed3845f9776dd98a7856daabd0c9a05340473a1235b131e2fdfc01",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "58,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.982,
      "implied_probability": 0.982,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1530.7042219999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 11410.465614000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 58000,
      "question_id": "CMX-352A7AC646",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CZNNMGTB32",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x54c97d4d322e91d85d6d078208115d8d3c5fa9901a2bc6ae5a485f31d72c35c0",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.969,
      "implied_probability": 0.969,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2398.3014069999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 5676.567221,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4C5FF32629",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D7SWWM39X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc4204c7f805ca8f0d3a1eb0214b35feac2a829558cf811b6a6d67861a39fd473",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "62,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.85,
      "implied_probability": 0.85,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1948.0794630000005,
      "volume_total_usd": 8850.211889,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 62000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D094A1538C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z4YYYRWR82",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8167d5da342176270713920fb34b57c77ce12636d6a7186d75f9589efeded234",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "64,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1179.327693,
      "volume_total_usd": 2337.5451869999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 64000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A17A0B4F80",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WYC0V9Z2V0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc83392e7583bb1cdad4db5482b4725e8943a5c785285d45d14f66dd9dc04ff68",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "66,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 549.60333,
      "volume_total_usd": 1814.916425,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 66000,
      "question_id": "CMX-0F6F3DA4D7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FKXYXDMCV3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7b7a927fb425796f7f6f72cf9efb783ff7bb8a09d3d5181bd488fd0edd441a19",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "68,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.042,
      "implied_probability": 0.042,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5333.365899999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 6200.032564999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 68000,
      "question_id": "CMX-861B321482",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JRDHMDFXR1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x58bf85a5486a5e19dbe189121a5085bebed65e2a43aa182579de0f3e2140ca52",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "70,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 99.329415,
      "volume_total_usd": 2670.6247449999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A9101ADCB0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VNKBQSH273",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x116fe4fcb6fdb4b999499386edd6f2fd90119a9b6d35cf0a77fb26c023e50ba2",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "72,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 5,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 72000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8A6FA6BCC6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KWKSR1N267",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5e2be54ec566d1d6e65c11fa2db201e77c09720e3eaf10b2b55663c5d8bdd872",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "74,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 9, 2026 determines if the price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 300,
      "volume_total_usd": 300,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 74000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E2944AB63A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "cryptocurrency"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QLW2NY86B2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}