{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
  "slug": "bitcoin-above-on-july-26-2026",
  "question": "The price of Bitcoin on July 26",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      64000,
      66000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 54000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 56000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 58000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 62000,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 64000,
        "prob": 79
      },
      {
        "threshold": 66000,
        "prob": 30
      },
      {
        "threshold": 68000,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70000,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 72000,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 74000,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-point",
    "2026",
    "short-term-forecast"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Bitcoin's spot price against eleven discrete strike thresholds on July 26, 2026. Each binary resolves against the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET. Taken together, the strike ladder implies a market-consensus probability distribution over Bitcoin's price level at that timestamp. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle across all eleven contracts.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DQY07MBRM1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.3,
    "implied_probability": 0.3
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9F7MXM71X1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6c42e9078dbe605f7d86ba8a3b72e128296508ad893ca4e132969defc6745d0f",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "54,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3669.817,
      "volume_total_usd": 3991.143,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 54000,
      "question_id": "CMX-69D3307B32",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-959YYLK5P2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf66313e320d1634743e14b3b95966052dbc21375af84c30f930bf698a3264bd1",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "56,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.998,
      "implied_probability": 0.998,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15.03,
      "volume_total_usd": 25.03,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 56000,
      "question_id": "CMX-70F2C49D77",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FS21X6HD12",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1b757fe195f7aeb63f60f7d414d2e0d09838cf19d9e7502f19a04c60612616e4",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "58,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 10,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 58000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C3A11E18B2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2PM0BQWSH0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc5f746b76e345ba0b65cd3871c28fcaa2aab026262127a39146830e8dad1745e",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 191.619735,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60000,
      "question_id": "CMX-AE58278AF8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HHNRZBF624",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5b5b037fdb3b5fe45eeccb4fbc95be440611afe1fb28b424675194108a0982c8",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "62,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.944,
      "implied_probability": 0.944,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1959.515322,
      "volume_total_usd": 3852.084935,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 62000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A3A24932BE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6W72QVFK33",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfb2166fb39fa3d0409c0812595c5d920ba4ebba9f196fbe8733ae2c58dbdeb75",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "64,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.79,
      "implied_probability": 0.79,
      "volume_24h_usd": 145.997898,
      "volume_total_usd": 633.5391529999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 64000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3C28208F33",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DQY07MBRM1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xee8f3ba247f5cc180a8457260a55b70f41c6db8f7ebc9ab39d7e47c92ee4718a",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "66,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 266.82410300000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 4472.603372,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 66000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3E0568EC1C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LH9X38S5Z0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa153768b7478bfc39370ae3e09d33b6787b74fcf4ecc28f08e8d975834c14aa8",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "68,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 709.028433,
      "volume_total_usd": 5571.654285999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 68000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8E6B001292",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MZTZQZ5YL8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4ba2fd2b29ed63362a33f99cf6a01f7753ebe56edc8d74a69c94e415d8c1ff0c",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "70,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 236.673756,
      "volume_total_usd": 2061.9018019999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E78CC6BE16",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X0S8KD26L5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfc9d92f6fb48e533a9553282cf87a52dfd2adcd498e438f7c64851547c5dbefa",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "72,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.027,
      "implied_probability": 0.027,
      "volume_24h_usd": 112.006,
      "volume_total_usd": 803.0964409999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 72000,
      "question_id": "CMX-AD5D700723",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G2D4F4QBG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x78e1cd5375376c56736626cdf813073a203df09a315a01916a71e7f6e180dd90",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 26?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "74,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on July 26, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 286,
      "volume_total_usd": 687.421425,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 74000,
      "question_id": "CMX-726021317D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-BN7R28R6F2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}