{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
  "slug": "bitcoin-above-on-july-27-2026",
  "question": "The price of Bitcoin on July 27",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      64000,
      66000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 56000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 58000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 62000,
        "prob": 89
      },
      {
        "threshold": 64000,
        "prob": 70
      },
      {
        "threshold": 66000,
        "prob": 31
      },
      {
        "threshold": 68000,
        "prob": 9
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70000,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 72000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 76000,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-threshold",
    "spot-price",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Bitcoin's spot price against 11 discrete strike thresholds on July 27, 2026. Each binary resolves against the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET noon. Taken together, the strike ladder implies a market-consensus probability distribution over Bitcoin's price range. Resolution is handled by Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using the Binance feed as the authoritative price source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HWDTHCDLQ7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.31,
    "implied_probability": 0.31
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-28TSNYBT69",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe50b8c6a8c6e1a1981c65c1860831df2d9b3beb235b137c19e8afb29bc308af6",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "56,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 185.9778,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 56000,
      "question_id": "CMX-6D78FF709A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DCDW2194C9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd0110a8f9926efd99dc7b7ee34626060a8c096a14ee7d8205d5a69d391e95c27",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "58,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 313.9,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 58000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B2CCC15370",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1MYPGQX4B8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4a8b66fb308b7b96c3c6b0b0c3db3c557ee7b7ecabbfdcb3b260be592ce21603",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.988,
      "implied_probability": 0.988,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5609.104706,
      "volume_total_usd": 11714.406261,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1762834730",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PDWZ1Y1PY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa4731e00b30dc2b68cd33da440d51ad24cd915cdbcac9cecd95a0f7be3ec3c74",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "62,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3149.840216,
      "volume_total_usd": 19605.129778,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 62000,
      "question_id": "CMX-91462857EF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-889MNSH8B1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x114d0257420ef8dc440685028e44eb7fe51b27c07e9b204c9561b0b8ba59a2f1",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "64,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.7,
      "implied_probability": 0.7,
      "volume_24h_usd": 124.389768,
      "volume_total_usd": 506.74410900000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 64000,
      "question_id": "CMX-EDD6863702",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HWDTHCDLQ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xba54400e67d56219d2bb6d2afb925ede62c945a10ac17716960aac2eb9c1b8c8",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "66,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 922.973581,
      "volume_total_usd": 1987.8424939999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 66000,
      "question_id": "CMX-134A76A6CB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B5TYQ58WQ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x19fd3ee4de8e8ad709903533796a1819b0c0a4748c57e3dc96df6587f1660d72",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "68,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 560.187314,
      "volume_total_usd": 1505.372651,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 68000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DA8685F8CF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9P711M0390",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x81bd24ebcf45a7f71690c78ac863de39da01315dcc865043fd6b6692881c4f00",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "70,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2805.40996,
      "volume_total_usd": 13087.191786000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C53F1047EB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PNJ5FDV4M6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1b51a7f1672493faf274a7f5528d747f913b12c3971949a478fca6a9af3c8197",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "72,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 165,
      "volume_total_usd": 812.5,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 72000,
      "question_id": "CMX-671E1F03CB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DF7YTGXSN2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4eef682f2bb45c336e6aaac5ab7026abeda8799ee26624e73587b65b140affba",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "74,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 18.048,
      "volume_total_usd": 28.048000000000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 74000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B990785542",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "btc",
        "price"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9LZ2BZY9Z7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x308f628652a269ccfc44b6946e5ad3f9bc64dffe68ad6cfb6491c4d2aaadca1d",
      "question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 27?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "76,000: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on July 27, 2026 determines if the referenced price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 148.45700000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 381.30949999999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 76000,
      "question_id": "CMX-02E4BEF26E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-42KK6D48M9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}