{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7XKCKHYQX4",
  "slug": "bitcoin-all-time-high-by",
  "question": "Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-milestone",
    "ath",
    "2026",
    "crypto"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high price by each stated calendar deadline in 2026. The four contracts are sequential binary options; a yes resolution on an earlier date implies yes on all later dates. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against observed spot price data. The March 31 contract resolved at the April 1, 2026 timestamp; the remaining three deadlines are still outstanding.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NXSKXY9X14",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NXSKXY9X14",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7XKCKHYQX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3fd88dc4dde49dd20ceade22fda96dc345aa6932c46237ff7f47352e49475588",
      "question": "Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:22:57Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3926505.163732994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CBE72D44F1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ath",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KLQYJN1182",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7XKCKHYQX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x337ed4a919995ef9ba9d705b319055633a5dfdcb3ab97cf610009a7d11a9ade4",
      "question": "Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 40627.678674,
      "volume_total_usd": 2856794.7099439004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-81EB7C941F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ath",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KG2K5TX862",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7XKCKHYQX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6123b5cc75c38ba9783f6c8ea260107b546c7d3454a8f9b5280c9921cc39f3d9",
      "question": "Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.015,
      "implied_probability": 0.015,
      "volume_24h_usd": 394.06015599999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 911861.0570329991,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E10FB74CD8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ath",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V5P44WLYJ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7XKCKHYQX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x18076e7d0f58a52d3d4f311d0456306edf16d1873cf5eef27d3ff044153e9576",
      "question": "Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.055,
      "implied_probability": 0.055,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6944.884807999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 1476962.095967999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A73351548D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ath",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KLQYJN1182",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T05:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NXSKXY9X14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T08:22:57Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7XKCKHYQX4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}