{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
  "slug": "bitcoin-best-month-in-2026",
  "question": "Will January be Bitcoin's best-performing month in 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "monthly-performance",
    "2026-events",
    "price-ranking",
    "crypto"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets collectively ask which calendar month in 2026 will produce Bitcoin's highest monthly return. Each of the twelve Polymarket contracts isolates a single month, forming a mutually exclusive, exhaustive set across the full year. Probabilities across all legs should sum to approximately 100%, making cross-leg arbitrage a structural feature. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using price data per each contract's stated source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RY6JQR7YN5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RY6JQR7YN5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb5b0b96b5114b4672851d528dcb95eae866e75c38806dc7100cf2c9691311cc8",
      "question": "Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "January: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T03:25:47Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 503260.2139170001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3FA549BBB3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NVXFCRXND1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcffb94c02ef7a6ffaab9ce5ae8c68c34aa3a470d87d8185d2b68ed6a0b9eec24",
      "question": "Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDTThis market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the fo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-01T03:29:48Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDTThis market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 56179.13324500002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-08A522E4ED",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DY729S3C52",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9dbfdcb3a62c2498adf35068038c7db1bcab916e7a9f0551ed8a1aeb272e5895",
      "question": "Will May be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the follow",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "May: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T06:05:18Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 20364.847288,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BBBF8DD90A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MZB6WDM9W9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x032239ad00d4549e33616588129286485c9744108de196f0535a6f5ba9f08eb3",
      "question": "Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 7869.104072999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-08A522E4ED",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B2Q05SHMF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x33954bc9d9d882b57687fc98a1c9721f369e44c09e8a1e01b859dec8583ac053",
      "question": "Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 7130.077217000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-49D0E6C990",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L8FBTBLKD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8e476262d56f0e18111ef97ba0abee632d0d76a151d7f05fca6ab9da70bb978a",
      "question": "Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "November: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.19,
      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 25830.683796000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D5A0F76628",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V3W173HP69",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x019afd4e8d8cc517afff837f1e8b80d1cee1da45bc4caab34846eef69cfcd8f8",
      "question": "Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "February: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-03-01T04:32:15Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 26944.343743,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-49D0E6C990",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q0WLKPJ898",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbc691aab089e310928d55d356f5de9abe2e7ad71bddeb48070ded5ef94f82951",
      "question": "Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "April: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 628.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 20206.49611400001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-CDED9DECB1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VT4HRZX4B5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5a4fc50ae4b1e38fa14b8a7d3b7cb01bd509f3857e9b4e5f39e0c746804a2696",
      "question": "Will June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 26911.624360000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6C1AFFF675",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JQNCDVVNN3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x181ddd17ea69696baea2892ae68259c5d98c913619fbf841bfbb7f0aa1718c42",
      "question": "Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7062.127029000003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-713CC19DE7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RZPB43H758",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc26c4c52dbd9a662f5fb97f124da2303515c881557dd1856231fd0045625f1c0",
      "question": "Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "October: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25,
      "volume_total_usd": 14181.814811999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-49D0E6C990",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BX3D4BJWL8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xda3a93dd94e86137ce4df45d56eedd1d9f50aa51f9f8efc4b7f75f784e140024",
      "question": "Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data s",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 21724.345529999988,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-FB73A1900C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "bitcoin",
        "btc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DY729S3C52",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-08T06:05:18Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NVXFCRXND1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-05-01T03:29:48Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RY6JQR7YN5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T03:25:47Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V3W173HP69",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-03-01T04:32:15Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YYPFMDLGL3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}