{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y52P46DHY3",
  "slug": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-5-2026",
  "question": "Will Bitcoin's price be higher on August 5 than on the previous day?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "bitcoin",
    "price-direction",
    "2026",
    "short-term"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Bitcoin's price rises or falls between noon ET on August 4, 2026 and noon ET on August 5, 2026. Resolution uses Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle closing prices at each reference time. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle determines the outcome. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform divergence exists.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZX165LXVV8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.44,
    "implied_probability": 0.44
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZX165LXVV8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y52P46DHY3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa16d0696a3cedc7d8faeb1e03eb036bddccc3cae473b0604c19548f7ca7d480a",
      "question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, sp",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing prices at noon ET on August 4, 2026 and August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Aug 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22971.343328,
      "volume_total_usd": 22977.225679000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4AEF6591BE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "crypto",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-Y52P46DHY3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}