{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K2VRNCC8Z8",
  "slug": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-24-2026",
  "question": "Will Bitcoin's price be higher on July 24 than it was on July 23?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-direction",
    "2026",
    "short-term"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks Bitcoin's daily price direction on July 24, 2026. Polymarket's binary outcome resolves to \"Up\" or \"Down\" based on Binance BTC/USDT at 12:00 ET. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The authoritative price source is Binance spot data, not a regulated benchmark.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HX01F8K6T3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.6,
    "implied_probability": 0.6
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HX01F8K6T3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K2VRNCC8Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x60cb891831b1e0d8f6834f35f150ec058d99075d62b75804ac7ce97b660a4dab",
      "question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 24 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 24 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Binance BTC/USDT closing price at 12:00 ET on July 24, 2026 compared to July 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 24 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 24 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.6,
      "implied_probability": 0.6,
      "volume_24h_usd": 39522.32565,
      "volume_total_usd": 39522.325650000006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D16A0DCD64",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "direction",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-K2VRNCC8Z8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}