{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GJT54LW964",
  "slug": "blue-tsunami-in-2026",
  "question": "Will there be a blue tsunami in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "congress",
    "elections",
    "2026-midterms",
    "us-elections",
    "democratic-wave"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Democrats achieve a sweeping electoral victory in the November 2026 midterm elections. Resolution depends on the final certified composition of both the U.S. House and Senate. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves the outcome against state-certified results. No cross-platform structural contrast is available; only one market is listed.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GB5ZCTMHY8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.4,
    "implied_probability": 0.4
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GB5ZCTMHY8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GJT54LW964",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5f5cf92636c3644a6221fba15d00e8aab9d539c17a0d25d8ae8d15220cbd2cb9",
      "question": "Blue tsunami in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:\n\n- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House\n- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The final composition of the U.S. House and Senate following the November 2026 midterm elections, as certified by state election officials and Congress.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:\n\n- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House\n- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.4,
      "implied_probability": 0.4,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 30196.564776000017,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democrats",
        "midterms",
        "us midterm election",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GJT54LW964",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}