{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
  "slug": "brazil-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place",
  "question": "Will the third-place finisher in the first round of the Brazil presidential election receive more than 10% of the vote?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "brazil-elections-2026",
    "electoral-outcomes",
    "presidential-race",
    "third-place-finish",
    "latin-america"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate finishes third in Brazil's October 2026 presidential first round. Each Polymarket contract isolates a single named candidate, creating a mutually exclusive set resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The authoritative source is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral's official valid-vote count. Candidate eligibility remains subject to TSE registration rulings before the October 4, 2026 close.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-F1G89QLT66",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.021,
    "implied_probability": 0.021
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-13G0QLVH09",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc69eb6554a719e2fbcb1718e11ae0bd0d8cdb433e8c199329c148efc710c26e5",
      "question": "Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tarcisio de Freitas: The TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) official results for valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election on October 4, 2026, with third-place determined by vote count, then alphabetically by surname if tied.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 576.92,
      "volume_total_usd": 7132.578444000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2HQCQ7XC08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa3e04eadbc6afac2e94d9eebb09d1705e254d313d06a51943cb18fc0612f4835",
      "question": "Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jair Bolsonaro: The TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) official results for valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election on October 4, 2026, with third-place determined by vote count, then alphabetically by surname if tied.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
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        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 500,
      "volume_total_usd": 7227.183933999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R3WMRH4DD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x43984893f308ca7980b90d7634faa9b7c5e29b71733ed1eff7be3b0e8e0248fd",
      "question": "Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Eduardo Bolsonaro: The TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) official results for valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election on October 4, 2026, with third-place determined by vote count, then alphabetically by surname if tied.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "dadosabertos.tse.jus.br",
            "url": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 500,
      "volume_total_usd": 43846.81205499999,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C0L95P1F75",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6b4d9574d789228b2f14edc10b452dc8948e38be04dba6bf90d0104e3e4e1f43",
      "question": "Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
        "sources": [
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6MPT7JJTG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x64b05c5935a2de4a4a36e7de1089564d08d0ce7e06f5deaae916c3bdc9ca3b3b",
      "question": "Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tereza Cristina: The TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) official results for valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election on October 4, 2026, with third-place determined by vote count, then alphabetically by surname if tied.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "dadosabertos.tse.jus.br",
            "url": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
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          {
            "name": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 469.153333,
      "volume_total_usd": 4083.1093330000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TB2RSDG516",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x93897d7b3c157488d634a23c538b6540a181a91e249c863df9b0b0a8fab65405",
      "question": "Will Person N finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Person N: The TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) official results for valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election on October 4, 2026, with third-place determined by vote count, then alphabetically by surname if tied.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JSJ1GMGP05",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Person O finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
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