{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
  "slug": "brazil-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place",
  "question": "Will the third-place finisher in the first round of the Brazil presidential election receive more than 10% of the vote?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "brazil-elections-2026",
    "electoral-outcomes",
    "presidential-race",
    "third-place-finish",
    "latin-america"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate finishes third in Brazil's October 4, 2026 first-round presidential election. Each binary contract covers a named candidate receiving the third-most valid votes. All 32 markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official Brazilian electoral results. Third-place positioning matters structurally: it identifies which major candidate is eliminated before any runoff.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6BTK1G3W25",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.25,
    "implied_probability": 0.25,
    "as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-13G0QLVH09",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc69eb6554a719e2fbcb1718e11ae0bd0d8cdb433e8c199329c148efc710c26e5",
      "question": "Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tarcisio de Freitas: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dadosabertos.tse.jus.br",
            "url": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-02T11:00:39.795Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 16772.772444,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil presidential election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RVK55KVMW5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd24e8798122cba5bb43a77e9a78f2e26bd65c47f281f4b66582718fa215b9f6e",
      "question": "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 203.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 48886.347036000014,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2HQCQ7XC08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa3e04eadbc6afac2e94d9eebb09d1705e254d313d06a51943cb18fc0612f4835",
      "question": "Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jair Bolsonaro: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dadosabertos.tse.jus.br",
            "url": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T07:00:45.671Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15731.367934000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil presidential election"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6DFVFG8TP8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xacc4e526a8c6f718b80ac7f559157b5197f040fb4505a7188a6315ab208f9e36",
      "question": "Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Fernando Haddad: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T05:00:35.185Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 2,
      "volume_total_usd": 23204.309469999997,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JP8CXM7ZD2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x100bfbd547cdb8782f816235d4f7d4301ec473250f4df606e6809605cdb3b5e9",
      "question": "Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Michelle Bolsonaro: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dadosabertos.tse.jus.br",
            "url": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-02T11:00:39.795Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20814.544643,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "brazil presidential election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R3WMRH4DD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x43984893f308ca7980b90d7634faa9b7c5e29b71733ed1eff7be3b0e8e0248fd",
      "question": "Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Eduardo Bolsonaro: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "dadosabertos.tse.jus.br",
            "url": "https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-23T21:00:38.576Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 46212.411055,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "brazil presidential election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F1G89QLT66",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MQHJWNSWH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x31f31222f37f2583de6c44c4297cafdccfd21d443e785042af0180192897f8ed",
      "question": "Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ratinho Júnior: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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      "underlying_reference": "Renan Santos: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
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      "question": "Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Flávio Bolsonaro: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
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      "question": "Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Camilo Santana: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Geraldo Alckmin: The listed candidate receiving the third-most valid votes in Brazil's first-round presidential election on October 4, 2026, per TSE official results, resolves this market.",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
      "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this e",
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