{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5C3TNBFXR8",
  "slug": "btc-updown-4h-1785888000",
  "question": "Will Bitcoin's price be higher at 12:00 AM ET on August 5 than at 8:00 PM ET on August 4?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "bitcoin",
    "short-term-prediction",
    "intraday-movement",
    "price-direction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks Bitcoin's price direction over a four-hour window on August 4, 2026. The single Polymarket binary resolves \"up\" or \"down\" based on price movement alone. Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream supplies the 8:00 PM and 12:00 AM ET price reads. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V91NYSJ0G9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.5,
    "implied_probability": 0.5
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V91NYSJ0G9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5C3TNBFXR8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcd8552c15bff83d46c38f4382cdeb6532e455fdbf567538bcd4f7ae40b9ac410",
      "question": "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"Down\".\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd.\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Chainlink BTC/USD data stream determines the Bitcoin price at 12:00 AM ET on August 5, 2026 versus 8:00 PM ET on August 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"Down\".\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd.\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "data.chain.link",
            "url": "https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Chainlink",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Chainlink",
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
      "volume_24h_usd": 12320.523720000005,
      "volume_total_usd": 12320.52372,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DB433F44EF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bitcoin",
        "btc",
        "direction",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5C3TNBFXR8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}