{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
  "slug": "bulgaria-presidential-election",
  "question": "Will Bulgaria hold a presidential election by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "bulgaria",
    "presidential-election",
    "2026",
    "eastern-europe"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Bulgarian presidential election, resolving by November 30, 2026. Each Polymarket contract prices a single named candidate's probability of winning. The suite of per-candidate binary contracts allows traders to express views on individual contenders independently. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using publicly reported official election results as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PYMCSF64D9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.49,
    "implied_probability": 0.49
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5512bfa9294bf914063ed120969908dee5cdf6e14293f28ca405d3ce4edcf485",
      "question": "Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, sp",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Iliana Iotova: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "www.cik.bg/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.49,
      "implied_probability": 0.49,
      "volume_24h_usd": 86.285713,
      "volume_total_usd": 89167.979137,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bulgaria presidential election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4N0PYHK9M4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x01b9734b91a56ced583a0c7c570a45fe16ffb53176318ecadb0eb522b908e1a4",
      "question": "Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, sp",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Blagomir Kotsev: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "www.cik.bg/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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        "score": 65,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.002,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R6M0VMKK52",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa9e24f23e61265a798a2e484c0ead96255e6cd94034dfc0ab58343aa907cc390",
      "question": "Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next  Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, sp",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kostadin Kostadinov: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "www.cik.bg/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6962.025276999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bulgaria presidential election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K52YN3QJ48",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x74be00a0d42fca6cbb0f586877774e07c970303e71d803ebfc72a14c5b111f79",
      "question": "Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, sp",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Yanaki Stoilov: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.cik.bg/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5744.766123999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bulgaria presidential election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NTZC43LFS8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe20cc3b63541fcf928da9137d47537396b479eeb4185b38a427b03f616a805f0",
      "question": "Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, sp",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Atanas Atanasov: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "www.cik.bg/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 954.41,
      "volume_total_usd": 4391.9205520000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bulgaria presidential election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M8CPF97H14",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x85f86bb96511e9269875050d009ee671f631b27064d721045a747c44b715f002",
      "question": "Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, sp",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Delyan Peevski: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.cik.bg/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 4197.282886,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bulgaria presidential election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JDZY5DKSN5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfa2b0ab5e7778d211a3a6c02c0e799c8dbab32ac6487e59c1e2bff87f0dcb1cd",
      "question": "Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, sp",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Rosen Plevneliev: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "www.cik.bg/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 4634.871005000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bulgaria presidential election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZPY4G3XF24",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd0590fb2d44c3b5deb053fde7072206ee9041441e3ee0e5fb022a41caf79b407",
      "question": "Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "description": "Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, sp",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Аndrey Gyurov: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
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