{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
  "slug": "cambria-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Cambria fully diluted valuation one day after launch, January 1, 2028",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      20000000,
      30000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 20000000,
        "prob": 51
      },
      {
        "threshold": 30000000,
        "prob": 35
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50000000,
        "prob": 23
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70000000,
        "prob": 14
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 18
      },
      {
        "threshold": 150000000,
        "prob": 16
      },
      {
        "threshold": 200000000,
        "prob": 2
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "cambria",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Cambria's governance token fully diluted valuation one day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price from the most liquid venue. Eight binary strikes span $20M to $200M, forming an implied probability distribution over the token's opening valuation. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2DR69GXK23",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.49,
    "implied_probability": 0.49
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9LJDWYZXZ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x85c6193a5695b52740b325bb3e438a10d2d758c5bb95f295fd4bf5721f30453b",
      "question": "Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$20M: The listed company's governance token FDV, calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price from the most liquid available source, resolves at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/playcambria",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/playcambria",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.69,
      "implied_probability": 0.69,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 39399.170614,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 20000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CF365DAF18",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cambria",
        "cambria fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2DR69GXK23",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1c82b2f0e7052bd4f7a53a26e43f88eeef1dd0ec7ff54fa426662805e94d4dd4",
      "question": "Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$30M: The listed company's governance token FDV, calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price from the most liquid available source, resolves at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/playcambria",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/playcambria",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.49,
      "implied_probability": 0.49,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 21927.170133000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 30000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9B436D7631",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cambria",
        "cambria fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P9J7HLZ3J5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x26e439221fd82a365c05287d6ce8ee97a3696fd2033da306f68b2ffe1ef650bd",
      "question": "Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$40M: The listed company's governance token FDV, calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price from the most liquid available source, resolves at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/playcambria",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/playcambria",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8381.057358000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 40000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A2D9E61A56",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cambria",
        "cambria fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XW9W5812H2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9ef1f8faf5bc32c9e813c53f772cc2abf2660aac22a153d2d83b72fb3fceba4a",
      "question": "Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$50M: The listed company's governance token FDV, calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price from the most liquid available source, resolves at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/playcambria",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/playcambria",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.26,
      "implied_probability": 0.26,
      "volume_24h_usd": 30,
      "volume_total_usd": 4634.568705,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8851BC401F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cambria",
        "cambria fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P1NZNY8537",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc7eb1d2bc8a23eb8ac638772375c4c0c35cb3e6a90cb7b80c1a220768cfa4bf7",
      "question": "Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$70M: The listed company's governance token FDV, calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price from the most liquid available source, resolves at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/playcambria",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/playcambria",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 737.621537,
      "volume_total_usd": 2966.759938,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-EC724A5D0C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cambria",
        "cambria fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PVKZSBW3X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x35ca9e184f777d2b54f1092d7aa86de35f6c020c498302baf7c072d681d508cb",
      "question": "Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The listed company's governance token FDV, calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price from the most liquid available source, resolves at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/playcambria",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/playcambria",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 568.174418,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-58D33E8454",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cambria",
        "cambria fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F2H6885SC2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8372cbf932a75061c133701e17afe2aa422448e61e2da111825ff50a387cdd3c",
      "question": "Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$150M: The listed company's governance token FDV, calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price from the most liquid available source, resolves at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/playcambria",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/playcambria",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 830.8292690000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 150000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A2BD3C57FB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cambria",
        "cambria fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DS2G8L5BW0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0f0469ea9cc1e4c616dfb7c2c249e259e4502fc01e8c0845bb2a5eac42dfd949",
      "question": "Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The listed company's governance token FDV, calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price from the most liquid available source, resolves at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/playcambria",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/playcambria",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.031,
      "implied_probability": 0.031,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3306.1787609999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-10386B0A1E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cambria",
        "cambria fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}