{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VLWGV62PH5",
  "slug": "cear-governor-election-winner",
  "question": "Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "brazil",
    "ceará",
    "gubernatorial",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, closing October 4, 2026. Polymarket structures each candidate as a separate binary contract; all named contracts are mutually exclusive. The Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Ceará is the authoritative source for official results. Resolution flows through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle upon the court's official announcement.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2SCLPS63G3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.69
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  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VLWGV62PH5",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x0098859230696a9dcaa04f3bddea2ec8c154a4ae5e21de56d99ea2ebd5430755",
      "question": "Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The State Electoral Court of Ceará (Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Ceará) announces the official winner of the October 4, 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 417.967396,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ceará",
        "elmano de freitas",
        "governor"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VLWGV62PH5",
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      "question": "Will Eduardo Girão win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The State Electoral Court of Ceará (Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Ceará) announces the official winner of the October 4, 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The State Electoral Court of Ceará (Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Ceará) announces the official winner of the October 4, 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": 36.066,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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        "ceará",
        "governor",
        "roberto cl udio"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FNC7ZNSDH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VLWGV62PH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xca6c691779e26d5971b8093def659d93c92b12f1d863def474f039cf03c0f7e3",
      "question": "Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The State Electoral Court of Ceará (Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Ceará) announces the official winner of the October 4, 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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        "ceará",
        "governor"
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      "question": "Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The State Electoral Court of Ceará (Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Ceará) announces the official winner of the October 4, 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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        "governor"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-59K3LN7HY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VLWGV62PH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Capitão Wagner win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?",
      "description": "The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The State Electoral Court of Ceará (Tribunal Regional Eleitoral do Ceará) announces the official winner of the October 4, 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
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        "score": 74,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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        "governor"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-VLWGV62PH5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}