{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WD50S1B919",
  "slug": "china-annual-inflation-2026",
  "question": "Will China's annual inflation for 2026 exceed 3%?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "inflation",
    "china",
    "macroeconomic-indicators",
    "price-levels"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track China's full-year 2026 CPI outcome, sourced from the National Bureau of Statistics of China's December 2026 monthly release. All nine contracts are on Polymarket, each pricing a discrete CPI range from below -1.0% to 2.5% and above. Traders must allocate probability across mutually exclusive rate-level tiers rather than a single binary or directional outcome. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing the National Bureau of Statistics of China report expected in January 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FZ0Z2Q79N3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.016,
    "implied_probability": 0.016
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FZ0Z2Q79N3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WD50S1B919",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8c52b5498d48981d12b4e56bedaa011f8ea1db871528d321c248233b1da4b5cd",
      "question": "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<-1.0%: The National Bureau of Statistics of China's monthly Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 2027, determines the 12-month percentage change in CPI.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
            "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
            "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.016,
      "implied_probability": 0.016,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 19528.717266000007,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": -1,
      "question_id": "CMX-C04ED0F1ED",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "china",
        "china annual inflation",
        "cpi",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H4SKBX5J10",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WD50S1B919",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1dd2e27c05035962c0d5fe54afd782afe645761e4ee10393dd661b8a07a38d46",
      "question": "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "-0.9 – -0.5%: The National Bureau of Statistics of China's monthly Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 2027, determines the 12-month percentage change in CPI.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
            "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
            "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.008,
      "implied_probability": 0.008,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 3309.2888150000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": -0.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-AAB7D0D7B7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "china",
        "china annual inflation",
        "cpi",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-66V4K86LY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WD50S1B919",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2232f0c9135988f25dd8e6b2d12d3cd483d233e3ca9a7aa3c04afe0eef7bc647",
      "question": "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "-0.4 – 0.0%: The National Bureau of Statistics of China's monthly Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 2027, determines the 12-month percentage change in CPI.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
            "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
            "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.038,
      "implied_probability": 0.038,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 4596.606574999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": -0.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-9D60DF8A65",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "china",
        "china annual inflation",
        "cpi",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WCK02PLKV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WD50S1B919",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0643a9edd0e8b0dbe0e471371818f5c61a84949ae1e3fc72c8e4572be3a0fe3c",
      "question": "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.1 – 0.5%: The National Bureau of Statistics of China's monthly Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 2027, determines the 12-month percentage change in CPI.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
            "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
            "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.052,
      "implied_probability": 0.052,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 4544.818435,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-9D60DF8A65",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "china",
        "china annual inflation",
        "cpi",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QZ4FRFG9Y7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WD50S1B919",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf2b7f54d9b88d9baeddb2a541d503cafd7bbe35fdf0ebd3bdf9adb44432dcfe1",
      "question": "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.6 – 1.0%: The National Bureau of Statistics of China's monthly Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 2027, determines the 12-month percentage change in CPI.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
            "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
            "url": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 7613.537992,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-9FA6A42148",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "china",
        "china annual inflation",
        "cpi",
        "inflation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8TNBTFVJY2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WD50S1B919",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4d8a21e7451dff6419d6d55459119950664d8f93907314e9516fda182c55d6d1",
      "question": "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.1 – 1.5%: The National Bureau of Statistics of China's monthly Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 2027, determines the 12-month percentage change in CPI.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
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      "question": "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
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            "name": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "volume_total_usd": 5883.646257,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WD50S1B919",
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      "question": "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "stats.gov.cn",
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            "name": "National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China",
            "url": null,
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            "name": "NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [],
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "china annual inflation",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WD50S1B919",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x97e8e99d8b96ca434a03a099c5dfb9b2b7747360978e5eb4cca0c3ce7eb5feaf",
      "question": "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?",
      "description": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.0-2.4%: The National Bureau of Statistics of China's monthly Consumer Price Index report for December 2026, released January 2027, determines the 12-month percentage change in CPI.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-10T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.\n\nYou can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named \"Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026\", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled \"Growth Rate Y/Y (%)\".\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "name": "NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report",
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question_id": "CMX-2C908C1A3C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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  "resolution_log": [],
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