{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G40TCGXPK4",
  "slug": "city-protocol-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "City Protocol FDV M one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      50000000,
      100000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 20000000,
        "prob": 79
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50000000,
        "prob": 68
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 38
      },
      {
        "threshold": 200000000,
        "prob": 24
      },
      {
        "threshold": 350000000,
        "prob": 13
      },
      {
        "threshold": 500000000,
        "prob": 13
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-metric",
    "city-protocol",
    "short-term-valuation",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track City Protocol's governance token Fully Diluted Valuation one day after token launch. Six Polymarket strike thresholds span $20M to $500M, forming an implied probability curve across valuation levels. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using total supply multiplied by post-launch price. Resolution is set for January 2028.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HNH9G24KB6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.38,
    "implied_probability": 0.38
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-THHC2K6SW2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G40TCGXPK4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4acbe2b3fe7eaebe7b4abb3d493a7dc7eff04b27d5a0d0b5ca3a249ee1401fbb",
      "question": "City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityproto",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$50M: The named governance token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.68,
      "implied_probability": 0.68,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1493.1536910000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4F66966EBF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "city",
        "city protocol",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HNH9G24KB6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G40TCGXPK4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x49de77fe27708e85668b5dab8467a61a934c51ffb520f4e0dc0c5ac5c933aebb",
      "question": "City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityproto",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The named governance token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.38,
      "implied_probability": 0.38,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2263.587259999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3795A22DFB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "city",
        "city protocol",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P9P0LXGCB2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G40TCGXPK4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4aa9a9b551adf1044e9012851608b45e326906971d1f652a07faf7f01cf9cb14",
      "question": "City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityproto",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The named governance token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3679.774447999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2F85BCDADA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "city",
        "city protocol",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VJJBLC89C5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G40TCGXPK4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x209656500b444265197d5c261f71758f33834cd924c3e3b2b84c86bff2529767",
      "question": "City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityproto",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$350M: The named governance token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2034.177791000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 350000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-14DF2028D9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "city",
        "city protocol",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P4NNHNM931",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G40TCGXPK4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x626e6c7babb7727ecffd9b7d0aebc6cef7ce4ad531fdf8e3372550663117df67",
      "question": "City Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityproto",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$500M: The named governance token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1730.3905609999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1742DB0854",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "city",
        "city protocol",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SF05N25R79",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G40TCGXPK4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd81d8f0ab6ec4cef78fc2e217c3f5cc1491c11cf1fa7a94db48d7e6e78dbd9c4",
      "question": "City Protocol FDV above $20M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityproto",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$20M: The named governance token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid available source, at 4:00 PM ET one day after public launch, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by January 1, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of City Protocol's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/cityprotocolhq",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "City Protocol (https://x.com/cityprotocolhq)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.79,
      "implied_probability": 0.79,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 213.39259599999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 20000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-38B8367766",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "city",
        "city protocol",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-G40TCGXPK4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}