{
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    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3F0FJ985D9",
  "slug": "clacton-by-election-2nd-place-20260707214539733",
  "question": "Will the second-place finisher in the Clacton by-election receive fewer than 10,000 votes?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "uk-politics",
    "clacton",
    "by-election-2027",
    "electoral-placement"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate finishes second in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. Each of the 53 Polymarket contracts prices a named candidate's binary probability of placing second. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Electoral Commission's official results. Placeholder candidates (Person I through Z) accommodate late entrants to the ballot.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9KVCH6B8X0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.74
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x1dcfd42bedc9177ebe85f6b4f52d227356fca0de838c2868d14e4667b35bb84f",
      "question": "Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the seco",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nigel Farage: The Electoral Commission's official results for the Clacton parliamentary by-election determine which named candidate receives the second-most valid votes, with alphabetical surname ordering breaking ties, by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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            "url": null,
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.048,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "question": "Will Giles Watling get second place in the Clacton by-election?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Giles Watling: The Electoral Commission's official results for the Clacton parliamentary by-election determine which named candidate receives the second-most valid votes, with alphabetical surname ordering breaking ties, by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3F0FJ985D9",
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      "question": "Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul get second place in the Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the seco",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x820d59d8ed09309d91cb010e82a58839d6e1c5721dc92be10117a87cbf9dca04",
      "question": "Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the seco",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Matthew Bensilum: The Electoral Commission's official results for the Clacton parliamentary by-election determine which named candidate receives the second-most valid votes, with alphabetical surname ordering breaking ties, by June 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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      "question": "Will Natasha Osben get second place in the Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the seco",
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      "underlying_reference": "Natasha Osben: The Electoral Commission's official results for the Clacton parliamentary by-election determine which named candidate receives the second-most valid votes, with alphabetical surname ordering breaking ties, by June 30, 2027.",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3F0FJ985D9",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x15ad7ce3b3ab6dc9aa7fcf4915a81a533076bb5fed82c41c4489d3e58e5ca337",
      "question": "Will Tony Mack get second place in the Clacton by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the seco",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "name": "the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/)",
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        "caps": [],
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3F0FJ985D9",
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