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  "slug": "clacton-by-election-nigel-farage-vote-20260708151424120",
  "question": "Will Nigel Farage receive over 50% of the vote in the Clacton by-election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
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  "tags": [
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    "elections",
    "uk-parliament",
    "clacton",
    "nigel-farage",
    "2027"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Nigel Farage's vote share in the Clacton parliamentary by-election, resolving by June 30, 2027. Six mutually exclusive Polymarket contracts span vote-share tiers from below 40% to 80% or above. Together they form a discrete probability distribution over Farage's share of valid votes cast. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, sourcing the official declared vote count from the Clacton returning officer.",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xef6bc458e1398d3e6351369a5d77c469529f311721019b03bf27e544a480a6c2",
      "question": "Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
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        "caps": [],
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      "question": "Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-30T23:59:00Z",
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      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n",
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