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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZYR7G1S9V3",
  "slug": "clacton-by-election-turnout-20260717155703438",
  "question": "Will the Clacton by-election turnout be above 50%?",
  "category": "politics",
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  "tags": [
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    "uk-politics",
    "clacton",
    "voter-turnout",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track total votes cast in the Clacton by-election scheduled for August 13, 2026. Polymarket structures turnout as seven mutually exclusive count tiers, from under 10,000 to 60,000 or above. The tier format prices the distribution of likely turnout, not a binary outcome. UK electoral authorities provide the official count; resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x0bee66fd84433a929ccf888180b32722bfb7f1729755401ef95f39609baf31c8",
      "question": "Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?",
      "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambigu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60k+: The total vote count reported by UK electoral authorities for the referenced by-election on August 13, 2026, including rejected ballots, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-13T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-13T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "tendringdc.gov.uk",
            "url": "https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "parliament.uk",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.uk/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "tendringdc.gov.uk",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 65,
      "volume_total_usd": 994.7025,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60000,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "by-election",
        "clacton",
        "clacton election votes",
        "turnout",
        "uk"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZYR7G1S9V3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}